The San Francisco Giants (56-57) and Washington Nationals (51-61) begin a 4-game series Monday. First pitch from Nationals Park is set for 6:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Giants vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Nationals lead 2-1
The Giants began their 7-game road trip by taking 2 of 3 in Cincinnati over the weekend. They outscored the Reds 15-8 during the series. San Francisco has won 7 of their last 9 games. The Giants are 23-34 on the road and 53-60 against the spread (ATS).
Washington broke out of a 5-game slide by taking the final 2 games of their series against the Brewers over the weekend. They led Milwaukee 4-0 behind a solo HR from 2B Luis Garcia Jr and a 3-run triple from LF James Wood and hung on for a 4-3 victory on Sunday. The Nationals are 25-28 at home and 63-49 ATS.
Giants at Nationals projected starters
RHP Logan Webb vs. LHP Patrick Corbin
Webb (8-8, 3.49 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 144 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, CG, 9 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 1-0 victory against Oakland A’s Wednesday
- 2024 road splits: 3-5, 4.30 ERA (75 1/3 IP, 38 R (36 ER), 1.46 WHIP, 8.5 K/9 in 13 games
- Career vs. Nationals: 3-1, 4.88 ERA, 24 IP, 13 ER, 33 H, 2 HR, 4 BB, 22 K in 5 starts
Corbin (2-11, 5.88 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.53 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 in 121 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 11 R (10 ER), 13 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 17-0 defeat at the Arizona Diamondbacks Tuesday
- 2024 home splits: 1-4, 4.99 ERA (28 IP, 33 R (32 ER), 1.32 WHIP, 7.0 K/9 in 10 starts
- Career vs. Giants: 9-11, 3.58 ERA, 166 IP, 76 R (66 ER), 164 H, 14 HR, 30 BB, 147 K in 30 games
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Giants at Nationals odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:06 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Giants -196 (bet $196 to win $100) | Nationals +164 (bet $100 to win $164)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Giants -1.5 (-125) | Nationals +1.5 (+104)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -104 | U: -118)
Giants at Nationals picks and predictions
Prediction
Giants 7, Reds 4
Moneyline
PASS.
I love the Giants (-196) to win this Game, but I’m not going to bet 2 units to win back 1. I’ll save my wager for the run line.
Run line/Against the spread
BET GIANTS -1.5 (-125).
If you are smart bettor, you always bet against Corbin. The guy has been a gold mine for bettors for more than 3 seasons now, basically since the Nationals won the World Series. The Diamondbacks tattooed him in his last outing for 10 ER which should come at no surprise since he used to pitch in the NL West and those teams know him better than most. In this matchup, Corbin gets another NL West team which will no doubt take him to task. The Giants hit 30 points higher against lefties than righties.
If Webb played for a better team, he’d have a much better record than 8-8. The guy has top-of-the-rotation stuff but has been a hard-luck loser a lot this season.
Over/Under
PASS.
My lean would be the Over because of Corbin being on the mound, but he’s just 3-3 against the Over in his last 6 starts. The Under has hit in 6 of their last 10 meetings. The Giants are 5-5 against the Over in their last 10 games.
There is just no real trend to love to make me want to make this bet. I’ll just keep all my money on that run line.
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