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San Diego Padres vs Detroit Tigers Prediction 9-4-24 MLB Picks

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Detroit Tigers (70-69) vs. San Diego Padres (79-61)
September 4, 2024 9:40 pm EDT
The Line: San Diego Padres -182 / Detroit Tigers +153; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Detroit Tigers and the San Diego Padres meet Wednesday in MLB action from Petco Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this Game. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs Detroit Tigers Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Detroit Tigers will start Keider Montero here and Montero is 4-6 with a 5.17 ERA and 58 strikeouts this season. This will be Montero’s first career start against the Padres. Yu Darvish will get the start for the Padres here and is 4-3 with a 3.20 ERA and 53 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Tigers, Darvish is 4-0 with a 3.21 ERA and 35 strikeouts.

Detroit Tigers Recap

The Detroit Tigers will look to rebound from their series-opening 3-0 loss at the hands of the Padres in Monday’s matchup. The loss put the Tigers at risk of having their series win streak snapped after taking sets from the Red Sox, Angels, and White Sox over the last two weeks.

Tigers Trying To Make Late Playoff Push

Riley Greene has 109 hits including 20 home runs and 58 RBIs along with 24 doubles, 5 triples, a .258 batting average, and a .350 OBP in addition to a team-high 131 strikeouts this season. Matt Vierling also has 117 hits as well as 5 triples and 25 doubles with 15 home runs and 50 RBIs while Wenceel Perez has 5 triples and 9 stolen bases. Colt Keith also has 12 home runs and 52 RBIs as well this year while Zach McKinstry has 14 stolen bases.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

  • The Padres have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a home win.
  • The Tigers have won each of their last five Wednesday games as underdogs against NL West opponents.
  • The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last seven night games following a road loss.
  • The Padres have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a home win.

San Diego Padres Recap

The San Diego Padres will be looking to keep the ball rolling after their victory over the Tigers in Monday’s opener. The win put the Padres in line for back-to-back series wins after taking out the Rays this past weekend.

Padres Trying To Keep Hold On NL Wild Card Spot

Jurickson Profar has 136 hits along with a .280 batting average and 24 doubles with 21 homers and 81 RBIs. Jake Cronenworth has 78 RBIs while Fernando Tatis Jr. has belted 14 home runs, 86 hits, 71 strikeouts, and 8 stolen bases as well this season, but is out of the lineup because of injury. Manny Machado has 23 home runs and 84 RBIs but also has 102 strikeouts while Ha-Seong Kim has 94 hits with 3 triples, 16 doubles, 11 home runs, 47 RBIs, and a team-high 22 stolen bases. Jackson Merrill has also chipped in 21 home runs, 79 RBIs, and 22 doubles with 6 triples this season.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

  • The Padres have won eight of their last nine night games against AL Central opponents.
  • The Tigers have lost seven of their last eight night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last five night games against American League opponents.
  • The Tigers have failed to cover the run line each of their last four night games against teams that held a winning record.

San Diego Padres vs Detroit Tigers Prediction

I’m on the Tigers here. I just don’t know what we’re going to see from Darvish in his season debut, and even before he went on the IL a few months ago, he wasn’t pitching all that well, especially at home. The Tigers fell flat in the opener, but this is a really good Tigers team that’s picked up their play in the month of August and I think Detroit keeps it going here. Give me Detroit.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Detroit +153

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