Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder Player Prop Picks 11-25-24

Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder Player Prop Picks 11-25-24

This matchup between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Sacramento Kings, promises to be an exciting contest between two teams with contrasting styles but the same aspirations. The Thunder, led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, are one of the best teams in the Western Conference, ranking second in the standings. They bring a strong defensive presence, allowing only 103.6 points per game, and excel at forcing turnovers with 10.9 turnovers per game. Offensively, Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 28.7 points, 6.3 assists, and 5.1 rebounds, supported by key contributors like Jalen Williams. 

The Kings, currently sitting in the lower half of the conference standings, rely heavily on De’Aaron Fox and Domantas Sabonis. Fox averages 28.8 points per Game and drives the Kings’ offense, while Sabonis is a double-double machine, leading the team in rebounds (12.7 per Game) and assisting in playmaking. Sacramento’s key challenge will be finding defensive answers for OKC’s dynamic backcourt while exploiting their own offensive mismatches.

Domantas Sabonis Over 12.5 Rebounds

Domantas Sabonis has been dominant on the boards during the 2024-25 NBA season, averaging an impressive 12.7 rebounds per Game. This includes 2.8 offensive rebounds and 9.9 defensive rebounds per Game, showcasing his ability to impact both ends of the floor. Sabonis’s rebounding efficiency is evident in Games such as his November 2nd performance against the Toronto Raptors, where he grabbed 20 rebounds, including seven on the offensive end.

His consistency on the glass has made him a vital component for the Sacramento Kings, as he has recorded double-digit rebounds in nearly all games this season. He has a favorable matchup against the Thunder who allow 59.6 rebounds per game to opposing teams which is the most in the league. 

Jalen Williams Over 1.5 Three Pointers

Jalen Williams of the Oklahoma City Thunder has shown promising accuracy from beyond the arc during the 2024-25 NBA season. He is averaging 4.9 three-point attempts per game and converting 40.3% of them. This demonstrates an improvement from previous seasons, marking him as a reliable shooter for his team. Notably, his high-volume three-point shooting is complemented by a consistent ability to adapt, with individual game performances including several instances of hitting three or more triples.

Jalen Williams is coming off a massive game from beyond the arc against the Portland Trailblazers scoring 5 three-pointers in that game. I expect him to have another big night from deep. He’s playing this Kings team that allows 14.9 three-pointers per game to opposing teams which is the 2nd most in the league. This is a great bet to take by itself or even in a parlay since the odds are around -140. 

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 5.5 Rebounds

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been a consistent rebounder for the Oklahoma City Thunder during the 2024-25 NBA season. Through 16 Games, he is averaging 5.1 total rebounds per Game, which includes 0.9 offensive rebounds and 4.3 defensive rebounds.

We’ve seen in his last 10 games he’s only gotten over 5 rebounds twice. I don’t see this being the game where he gets back on track. This Kings team is very strong on the boards with Sabonis in the paint. I’ll continue to ride with the trend and take the under on Shai’s rebounds.