MLB

Royals vs Guardians Prediction - MLB Picks 7/6/23

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1y ago

Jul 06, 2023 / 5760 Views

Evan Walker

Cleveland Guardians (42-44) vs Kansas City Royals (25-62)

Game Info: Thursday, July 6, 2023 at 7:10 pm (Progressive Field)

Tanner Bibee (5-2) (3.46) vs Jordan Lyles (1-11) (6.48)

Betting Odds: Cleveland Guardians -196 / Kansas City Royals +150 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Cleveland Guardians will host the Kansas City Royals for Game one of their divisional series this Thursday from Progressive Field.

Royals Betting Preview

Kansas City comes in at 25-62 after being swept by Minnesota. The Royals were silenced by a gem from Pablo Lopez, and they’ll look to avoid being swept again this weekend in Cleveland. The Kansas City offense is scoring 3.35 runs per Game, while batting .231, with a .295 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 5.29 ERA, with a 1.47 WHIP. Bobby Witt Jr. has plated runs in five straight Games, and he leads KC in hits (87) and RBI (45), with thirteen homers. Salvador Perez has been a bit quiet over the last ten Games, but he still leads the Royals in home runs (15), with 40 RBI. Maikel Garcia has multiple hits in four of the last six Games, and he leads the team in batting at .296.

Jordan Lyles (1-11, 6.72 ERA, 55 Ks) will take the mound for Kansas City. The journeyman pitcher will return from a two-week absence here, which honestly was a well-deserved vacation. Lyles’ has been at the ring end of KC’s struggles this season, but he somehow managed to hop in the win column after earning his first victory in Tampa, even after allowing four runs in six innings. Lyles hasn’t been all that impressive, but he’s been able to serve as a reliable innings eater on a bad team, and he’ll look to earn a second victory here in Cleveland.

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Guardians Betting Preview

Cleveland moved to 42-44 after dropping two of three to Atlanta. The Guardians avoided being bullied by the NL powers by taking Game two, and they’ll now turn their attention to an underwhelming Kansas City team for the weekend. The Cleveland offense is scoring 3.98 runs per Game, while batting .248, with a .313 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 3.86 ERA, with a 1.28 WHIP. Ames Rosario has been on a tear, and after producing multiple runs in four of the last five Games, he’s up to 33 RBI for the season. Jose Ramirez doubled in the Game three loss to Atlanta, and he leads Cleveland in hits (92), while batting .287, with 13 homers and 52 RBI. Josh Naylor has recorded a hit in eight of his last ten Games, and he’s posting team-leads in batting (.295) and RBI (60).

Tanner Bibee (5-2, 3.46 ERA, 58 Ks) will get the call for Cleveland. The rookie righty put together a strong outing in Chicago last week, striking out nine in 5.2 innings pitched. Bibee has now earned the victory in three consecutive starts, and he comes into a very manageable spot to pitch up a fourth straight here against KC. Bibee has been stout in Cleveland this season as well, allowing no more than one run in five of six home spots.

Kansas City vs Cleveland Trends

Kansas City is 42-38 against the spread this season, with a 46-35-3 O/U record. Cleveland is 40-44 ATS this year, with a 33-48-3 over/under record.

Corey’s Free Pick

Cleveland put up a fight against Atlanta this week, and I’m sure they’ll look forward to toning things down and taking care of Kansas City this weekend. The Royals aren’t the Athletics, so it won’t be a gimme, but after having such a hard-fought week at the plate, this is an ideal spot for them to get back above .500. The Guardians will have the blessing of facing Jordan Lyles on two weeks of rest, and they should be able to find the necessary production to win this Game off of the 1-11 starter. Tanner Bibee has also been sharp in his own right, so the ingredients are there for the host to take Game one. Back Cleveland for this AL Central matchup.

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