Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 7-21-24 Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Pittsburgh Pirates meet Sunday in MLB action from PNC Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this Game. Here’s a Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

Tyler Phillips will get the start for the Phillies here and is 1-0 with a 4.50 ERA and 12 strikeouts this season. This will be Phillips’ first career start against the Pirates. The Pittsburgh Pirates will start Marco Gonzales here and Gonzales is 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA and 15 strikeouts this season. In his career, Gonzales is 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA and 7 strikeouts against Philadelphia.

Philadelphia Phillies Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies will try to salvage something from this series to avoid the sweep after dropping the first two Games of the set thanks to a 4-1 loss in Saturday’s matchup. With that said, the loss on Saturday guaranteed back-to-back series losses for the Phils, bookending the all-star break with series losses after falling to Oakland prior to the break.

Phillies Trying To Hold On Atop NL East

Alec Bohm leads the Phillies with 109 hits including 33 doubles, a .295 batting average and a team-high 70 RBIs while Bryce Harper has 22 home runs with 62 RBIs and Bryson Stott has a team-high 22 stolen bases. Kyle Schwarber has a team-high 19 home runs, 55 RBIs and a team-high 110 strikeouts as well this season. Johan Rojas also has 17 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Pirates have lost each of their last four day games at PNC Park following a win.
• The Phillies have won each of their last four day games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in four of their last five games as favorites following a road loss.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four day games following a home win.

Pittsburgh Pirates Recap

The Pittsburgh Pirates will try to complete the sweep of the Phillies after taking Saturday’s matchup, giving the Pirates their third straight series win after knocking off the White Sox and Brewers prior to the all-star break.

Pirates Making Up Ground In NL Playoff Race

Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates with 115 hits with 20 doubles along with 18 home runs and 61 RBIs while Andrew McCutchen has 13 home runs and Jack Suwinski has 7 stolen bases. Oneil Cruz has 7 stolen bases and 115 strikeouts while also posting 20 doubles, 15 home runs and 50 RBIs and Connor Joe has a .244 batting average and 17 doubles as well this season. Ke’Bryan Hayes also has a team-high 8 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

• The Pirates have won each of their last four games as home underdogs against the Phillies.
• The Phillies have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
• The Pirates have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 games against the Phillies.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games at PNC Park.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

I’m on the Pirates here. I get the allure of the Phillies being favored as they still have one of the best records in baseball, but the Pirates have come out strong out of the gate and actually look like a team primed to make a postseason push. I just don’t think Tyler Phillips should be favored by this kind of margin, and think that the Pirates complete a surprising sweep out of the gate. Give me Pittsburgh.