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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 4-25-24 Picks

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Milwaukee Brewers (14-8) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (13-11)
April 25, 2024 12:35 pm EDT
The Line: Pittsburgh Pirates +102 / Milwaukee Brewers -112; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, April 25th at PNC Park. 

Brewers Squeak Out a Win

It wasn’t the most dominant Game on Wednesday, but the Brewers scored three runs and that was enough for the victory. Bryse Wilson went 4.1 innings, giving up three hits and two runs. 

Brewers Offense Overall Has been Strong

The Brewers are averaging 5.32 runs, while their pitching is giving up 3.86 runs per Game. The offense is ranked 6th in the league while the pitching is ranked 7th. As a team they are averaging 9.18 hits per Game which is 2nd in the league. They are averaging 1.32 home runs per Game which is second in the league. Getting the start for the Brewers will be Freddy Peralta, who sits with a 2-0 record and an ERA of 1.90. In his last start against the St. Louis Cardinals, he went six innings, giving up four hits and zero runs. Two Games ago against the Baltimore Orioles he went six innings giving up five hits and one run. 

Pirates Look to Bounce Back

The Pirates scored only two runs on Wednesday and that wasn’t enough as they were defeated. Bryan Reynolds was the only bright spot, hitting a home run and driving in two RBIs. The Pirates are averaging 4.25 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.25 runs per Game. The offense is ranked 16th in the league while the pitching is ranked 11th. William Contreras has hit four home runs and driven in 20 RBIs. 

Pirates Need the Good Mitch Keller

Getting the start for the Pirates will be Mitch Keller who sits with a 2-2 record and an ERA of 4.80. In his last start against the Boston Red Sox, he went six innings, giving up five hits and four runs. Two Games ago against the Philadelphia Phillies he went seven innings giving up eight hits and two runs. 

Pittsburgh Pirates Team Facts

  • The Pirates have won each of their last four games as underdogs against the Brewers following a loss.
  • The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last 10 Thursday games as home underdogs.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last three day games at PNC Park.
  • The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five day games.
  • The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven day games at PNC Park against NL Central opponents.

Milwaukee Brewers Team Facts

  • The Brewers have won each of their last eight day games against National League opponents.
  • The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents.
  • The Brewers have led after 7 innings in each of their last five day games against NL Central opponents.
  • The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last six games as road favorites against National League opponents.
  • The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against the Pirates at PNC Park.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

Freddy Peralta has been dominant so far this season for the Pirates, and he’s going to continue that success here. Peralta went six innings, giving up only five hits and one run. The Pirates’ offense overall has been decent, but they are going to really struggle here. The Brewers are averaging 5.32 runs per Game, and they are going to give Peralta is going to have some run support. This is going to be a very comfortable victory by the Brewers. Pick the Brewers on the run line.

Shane Mickle's Free Pick: Brewers -1.5

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