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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 4-21-24 Picks

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Boston Red Sox (12-10) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (11-10)
April 21, 2024 1:35 pm EDT
The Line: Pittsburgh Pirates -145 / Boston Red Sox +122; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Pittsburgh Pirates vs Boston Red Sox prediction for this MLB Game on Sunday, April 21st at PNC Park. 

Red Sox Look for Another Strong Pitching Performance 

The Red Sox only gave up two runs on Saturday against the Pirates, and that was enough to secure the victory. Masataka Yoshida hit a home run and drove in two RBIs. The Red Sox are averaging 4.41 runs, while their pitching is giving up 3.82 runs per Game. The offense is ranked 15th in the league, while the defense is ranked 4th. Triston Casas has been the top player for the Red Sox, hitting six home runs and driving in 10 RBIs. The Red Sox will take on the Guardians after this series.

Pirates Need This Win

The Pirates come into this Game with an 11–10 record, and they are going to need a win in this Game. On Saturday, the Pirates’ offense wasn’t good enough, and they are going to need to be better here. The Pirates are averaging 4.52 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.43 runs per Game. The offense is ranked 13th in the league, while the defense is ranked 11th. Getting the start for the Pirates will be Martin Perez, who sits with a 1-0 record and an ERA of 2.55. In his last start against the Mets, he went 5.2 innings giving up six hits and three runs. 

Pittsburgh Pirates Team Facts

  • The road team has won seven of the last eight games between the Red Sox and Pirates.
  • The road team has covered the run line in eight of the last nine games between the Red Sox and Pirates.
  • The Pirates have lost the first inning in each of their last four games against American League opponents.
  • The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four day games.
  • The Pirates have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last four games.

Boston Red Sox Team Facts

  • The Red Sox have won eight of their last nine road games.
  • The Red Sox have covered the run line each of their last seven road games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last seven games at PNC Park.
  • The Red Sox have won the first inning in each of their last three games against NL Central opponents.
  • The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in each of their last five road games against opponents that held a winning record.

Red Sox vs Pirates Prediction

The Pirates are going to find success here. They might have been knocked off on Saturday, but this Game is going to be different. Perez has been strong this season and coming into this Game he sits with a ERA of 2.55. Perez is going to dominate here, and that is going to be the difference. The Red Sox aren’t going to have enough offense to keep this Game close. Back the Pirates on the money line. This is a strong play. 

Shane Mickle's Free Pick: Pirates ML

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