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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 8-3-24 MLB Picks

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Arizona Diamondbacks (59-51) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (55-54)
August 3, 2024 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Pittsburgh Pirates -120 / Arizona Diamondbacks +110; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Arizona Diamondbacks and the Pittsburgh Pirates meet Saturday in MLB action from PNC Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this Game. Here’s an Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Arizona Diamondbacks will start Jordan Montgomery here and Montgomery is 7-5 with a 6.51 ERA and 48 strikeouts this season. In his career, Montgomery is 1-3 with a 2.63 ERA and 20 strikeouts against Pittsburgh. Mitch Keller will get the start for the Pirates and is 10-5 with a 3.30 ERA and 114 strikeouts this season. In his career, Keller is 1-0 with a 2.49 ERA and 21 strikeouts against Arizona.

Arizona Diamondbacks Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks will try to keep their momentum rolling after opening the series with a 9-8 win over the Pirates in Friday’s opener. The win put the Diamondbacks in a good spot to keep their series win streak alive after taking out the Nationals, Pirates and Royals in the last two weeks.

Diamondbacks Making Serious Playoff Push

Ketel Marte leads the Diamondbacks with 123 hits in addition to a .303 batting average and 20 doubles with 26 home runs and 74 RBIs while Lourdes Gurriel Jr. also has 14 home runs and 58 RBIs as well this season. Corbin Carroll has a team-high 20 stolen bases while Eugenio Suarez has 118 strikeouts this season. Christian Walker also has 23 home runs with 71 RBIs of his own in addition to 114 strikeouts this season.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

  • The Diamondbacks have won each of their last nine night games following a win.
  • The Pirates have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against the Diamondbacks following a home loss.
  • The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last 12 games as underdogs against the Pirates.
  • The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 games as home favorites against the Diamondbacks following a loss.

Pittsburgh Pirates Recap

The Pittsburgh Pirates will look to rebound after falling short in Friday’s series opener. The loss put the Pirates in a tough spot if they’re going to try to build on their series win over the Houston Astros to start the week.

Pirates Trying To Shock NL Central

Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates with 121 hits with 21 doubles along with 18 home runs and 63 RBIs while Andrew McCutchen has 13 home runs and Jack Suwinski has 9 stolen bases. Oneil Cruz has 10 stolen bases and 131 strikeouts while also posting 23 doubles, 17 home runs and 56 RBIs and Connor Joe has a .242 batting average and 18 doubles as well this season. Ke’Bryan Hayes also has 10 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

  • The Pirates have won each of their last nine games as favorites following a loss.
  • The Diamondbacks have lost three of their last four games at PNC Park following a road win.
  • The Pirates have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against the Pirates following a win.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

I’m on the Diamondbacks here. I just can’t get there with the Pirates even though Mitch Keller has pitched his better baseball at home this season. Pittsburgh’s offense showed up on Friday, but it’s still been wildly inconsistent and you can’t have those inconsistencies when Arizona is in the same level of form as the team that made their run to the postseason last year, looking more and more like that team with every passing day and every win in the column. Give me Arizona here.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Arizona +110

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