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Pirates vs Marlins Prediction - MLB Picks 6/23/23

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Miami Marlins (43-33) vs Pittsburgh Pirates (34-40)

Game Info: Friday, June 23, 2023 at 6:40 pm (loanDepot park)

Jesus Luzardo (6-5) (4.09) vs Luis Ortiz (1-3) (4.30)

Betting Odds: Miami Marlins -175 / Pittsburgh Pirates +145 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Pittsburgh Pirates will play the Miami Marlins in Game 2 of their series on Friday night at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida.

Pirates Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 34-40 this season and they have lost 10 Games in a row. Prior to losing the first Game in this series, Pittsburgh lost all three Games in their series with the Cubs. The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 4.39 ERA, a 1.39 WHIP, and a .253 opponent batting average this season. The Pirates offense has scored 307 runs with a .239 batting average and a .318 on base percentage. Connor Joe is batting .248 with six home runs and 21 RBI’s for the Pirates. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Luis Ortiz, who is 1-3 with a 4.30 ERA and a 1.73 WHIP over 37.2 innings pitched this year. 

Marlins Preview

The Miami Marlins are 43-33 this season and they have won six of their last eight Games. Miami won Game 1 in this series by a score of 6-4 on Thursday night. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.06 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .242 opponent batting average. The Marlins offense has scored 309 runs with a .260 batting average and a .321 on base percentage this year. Luis Arraez is batting .397 with two home runs and 35 RBI’s for the Marlins. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Jesus Luzardo, who is 6-5 with a 4.09 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 83.2 innings pitched this season.

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Trends

Pittsburgh is 8-24 in their last 32 Friday Games and 0-10 in their last 10 Games. The over is 6-2 in Pittsburgh’s last 8 road Games. Miami is 8-2 in their last 10 home Games and 17-35 in their last 52 Friday Games. The under is 4-1 in Miami’s last 5 Friday Games. Pittsburgh is 1-5 in these two teams last 6 head to head meetings.

Pick

The Marlins trailed for most of the Game on Thursday night, but they were able to take the lead with a five run eighth inning for the win. Miami is starting Jesus Luzardo, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts, but did allow 10 earned runs in the other two starts. Pittsburgh is starting Luis Ortiz, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. I think Pittsburgh will keep this Game close and have a chance to win it late, so I am taking the Pirates +1.5 here. 

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