MLB
Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros Prediction 8-26-24 MLB Picks
Houston Astros (69-58) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (74-53)
August 26, 2024 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Philadelphia Phillies -140 / Houston Astros +129; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Houston Astros and Philadelphia Phillies meet Monday in MLB Game 1 action at Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros Prediction. This article will include a Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros Pick.
Houston Astros Betting Preview
The Houston Astros are 70-60 on the year after playing the Red Sox and Orioles. The Houston Astros have scored 13 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 7 Games. The Houston Astros have won 10 of their last 13 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jose Altuve leads the Houston Astros with 154 hits and 56 RBI, while Yainer Diaz and Yordan Alvarez have combined for 278 hits and 139 RBI.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 76-54 on the year after playing the Braves and Royals. The Philadelphia Phillies have scored 26 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 Games. The Philadelphia Phillies have won 5 of their last 7 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Alec Bohm leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 145 hits and 88 RBI, while Nick Castellanos and Bryce Harper have combined for 244 hits and 142 RBI.
Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies Pitching Pick Matchup
Ronel Blanco gets the ball for the Houston Astros, and he is 9-6 with a 3.14 ERA and 136 strikeouts this season. Blanco has allowed 18 hits and 9 earned runs in his last 18.2 innings. Blanco has a 2.70 ERA and .193 allowed batting average in 63.1 road innings. This will be Blanco’s second career game against the Philadelphia Phillies.
Zack Wheeler gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 12-6 with a 2.73 ERA and 170 strikeouts this season. Wheeler has allowed 18 hits and 5 earned runs in his last 26 innings. Wheeler has a 2.40 ERA and .184 allowed batting average in 82.1 home innings. This will be Wheeler’s second career Game against the Houston Astros.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won four of their last five games at Citizens Bank Park.
- The Astros have lost three of their last four night games following a win.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Phillies following a win.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in six of their last seven games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Trea Turner has hit at least one home run in five of his last six home appearances against AL West opponents.
- Bryce Harper has recorded a Double in four of the Phillies’ last five games against AL opponents.
- Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Phillies’ last four home games.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven home appearances.
- Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances against AL West opponents.
- Bryce Harper has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Phillies’ last five games against AL opponents.
- Bryce Harper has scored at least one run in eight of the Phillies’ last nine home games against AL West opponents.
- Zack Wheeler has recorded seven or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last seven home games.
- Zack Wheeler ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (2.73) this season.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Jeremy Pena has hit a home run in four of his last five road appearances.
- Yainer Diaz has scored at least one run in each of the Astros’ last seven night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Yordan Alvarez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Yainer Diaz has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Astros’ last eight games against NL opponents.
- Yainer Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros’ last 12 games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Jose Altuve has recorded at least one Double in six of his last eight appearances against the Phillies after playing the previous day.
- Mauricio Dubon has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six road appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Yordan Alvarez ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.306) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Philadelphia Phillies are one of only 3 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
- The Philadelphia Phillies rank 4th in the league for ERA this season (3.70).
- The Houston Astros rank 2nd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.228).
- The Houston Astros rank 2nd in the league for hits allowed this season (982).
Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros Prediction
The Houston Astros and plus money is worth a look with the way they’re playing and closing in on an AL West title. However, while the Philadelphia Phillies have been spotty in the second half of the season, they’re at home here with Zack Wheeler on the mound. Wheeler and a cheap price anywhere has value considering he’s currently second in the NL CY Young race. Getting a top-5 pitcher in baseball at a -140 or less price has to have value. Give me the Phillies and the reasonable price.
Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -140
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