The Philadelphia Phillies (65-43) take on the Seattle Mariners (57-53) Friday in the opener of a 3-game set at T-Mobile Park at 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Phillies won 2-1 last year
The Phillies have hit a rough patch, losing 4 in a row and 6 of 7 before Thursday’s off-day. They lost 2 of 3 to Cleveland and were swept by the New York Yankees, both series at home, and they’re 7-13 over the last 20 Games. DH Kyle Schwarber is back on a binge, hitting .375 with 3 homers and 6 RBIs in his last 5 Games.
The M’s lost 2 of 3 to the Boston Red Sox, but they had a 4-2 road trip. Newly acquired OF Randy Arozarena is producing, hitting .316 with 1 homer and 2 RBIs in his last 5 Games. Their trade deadline additions have helped steer the ship in the right direction.
Phillies at Mariners projected starters
RHP Tyler Phillips vs. RHP Bryan Woo
Phillips (3-0, 1.80 ERA) makes his 4th start and 5th appearance. He has a 0.76 WHIP, 0.7 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 25 innings.
- Last start: Win, 9 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 8-0 home victory Saturday against Cleveland Guardians
- Has never faced Seattle
- Home/road splits: Away – 1-0, 0.90 ERA, 0.80 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 in 10 IP; Home – 2-0, 2.40 ERA, 0.73 WHIP, 5.4 K/9
Woo (4-1, 2.35 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 0.90 WHIP, 1.0 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 through 53 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 6-3 win Saturday at Chicago White Sox
- Has never faced Phillies
- Home/road splits: Home – 2-0, 1.27 ERA, 0.61 WHIP, 6.3 K/9; Road – 2-1, 3.06 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 6.1 K/9
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Phillies at Mariners odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:20 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Phillies -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Mariners -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+155) | Mariners +1.5 (-190)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Phillies at Mariners picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 3, Mariners 2
Moneyline
Woo has been really good at avoiding hard contact. He has only given up 3 extra-base hits (no homers) to right-handed batters this season. Conversely, the damage has come from lefties, who have touched him up for 4 doubles and 4 homers in 105 at-bats. For Philly, Phillips has been awesome in his last 2 starts. He hasn’t allowed a run in 15 innings.
I’ll take the PHILLIES -110.
Run line/Against the spread
One prop that sticks out to me is TYLER PHILLIPS UNDER 1.5 WALKS (+110). He has allowed a total of 2 walks in 3 starts, and they came in separate starts.
Over/Under
It’s slated to be 86 degrees with a 3-mph gust blowing out to left-center. The M’s are 6-4 O/U in their last 10, and the Phils are 5-5. In a spacious ballpark without much wind and 2 pitchers that avoid hard contact, I like the UNDER 8 (-110).
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