The Philadelphia Phillies (67-46) and Los Angeles Dodgers (66-48) wrap up a 3-Game set at Dodger Stadium Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Phillies lead 4-1
After losing the Monday opener 5-3 as +125 underdogs, the Phillies bounced back with a 6-2 win as -105 favorites Tuesday with the Under (8.5) hitting. 2B Edmundo Sosa went 2 for 4 with 3 RBIs, including a 2-run single for a 4-0 lead in the top of the 6th. Sosa and DH Kyle Schwarber (2 for 5, 2 RBIs) connected on back-to-back solo shots in the 9th for Philly’s final runs.
The Dodgers failed to cash as -103 underdogs Tuesday, snapping a 3-game win streak. SP Clayton Kershaw made his 3rd start of the season, allowing just 1 earned run on 5 hits and no walks with 5 K’s. He was pulled in the 5th inning after Schwarber hit a 2-out RBI single which gave Philadelphia a 1-0 lead.
Phillies at Dodgers projected starters
RHP Tyler Phillips vs. RHP Gavin Stone
Phillips (3-1, 4.39 ERA) makes his 5th start and 6th appearance. The rookie has a 1.01 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 26 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 1 2/3 IP, 8 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 1 K in 10-2 defeat at Seattle Mariners Friday
- 2024 road stats: 1-1, 6.94 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 9 ER), 1.37 WHIP, 8.5 K/9 in 3 appearances (2 starts)
- Never faced Dodgers before
Stone (9-5, 3.63 ERA) makes his 21st start. The rookie has a 1.30 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 111 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 5 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 6-5 setback at Oakland A’s Friday
- 2024 home stats: 3-1, 3.50 ERA (54 IP, 21 ER), 1.33 WHIP, 6.7 K/9 in 10 starts
- 2024 vs. Phillies: 0-1, 1 road start (July 10), 4 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 9 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 4-3 defeat
- Career vs. Phillies: 0-1, 8.31 ERA (8 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 2.19 WHIP, 4.2 K/9 in 2 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Phillies at Dodgers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:05 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Phillies +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Dodgers -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies +1.5 (-165) | Dodgers -1.5 (+140)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Phillies at Dodgers picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 7, Phillies 3
Moneyline
The Dodgers (-145) should hand Philadelphia its 8th loss in 10 games. DH Shohei Ohtani went 0 for 4 Tuesday, and he’ll likely bounce back in the series finale against Philadelphia’s rookie starter. However, the Dodgers’ run line at plus odds is more attractive than laying -145 on the ML.
PASS. Bet the run line and/or total instead.
Run line/Against the spread
At +140, TAKING LOS ANGELES to win by 2 or more runs is the preferred option. Since the All-Star break, 5 of the Dodgers’ 9 home games have resulted in multi-run wins for L.A.
The Dodgers also lead MLB with 1.58 HRs per home game, and Phillips in his last start — Friday at Seattle — just gave up 3 homers in 1 2/3 innings. With Ohtani coming off an 0-for-4 night, this game may get out of hand for Phillips quickly.
BET DODGERS -1.5 (+140), then head to FanDuel Sportsbook to get a better price on OHTANI TO HIT A HOME RUN (+196).
Over/Under
This total is set pretty high, and it’s understandable with Phillips coming off the worst start of his young career. The Over has hit in 6 of the Phillies’ last 8 games and in 5 of 8 for the Dodgers, but this number is just a bit too steep to pull the trigger on a full-unit wager.
LEAN OVER 9 (-110).
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