The Philadelphia Phillies (68-46) and Arizona Diamondbacks (63-52) open a 4-game series on Thursday. First pitch from Chase Field is at 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Phillies lead 2-1
The Phillies beat the Los Angeles Dodgers 9-4 Wednesday for the 2nd straight Game and have won 3 of their last 4 Games after a 6-Game losing streak. They are 3-3 on their West Coast road trip.
The Diamondbacks played a doubleheader on Wednesday, beating the Guardians in Cleveland 7-3 and 5-3 to sweep the 3-Game series. They have won 4 straight Games, 8 of their last 9 and 12 of their last 14.
Phillies at Diamondbacks projected starters
LHP Kolby Allard vs. LHP Jordan Montgomery
Allard (0-0, 4.50 ERA) makes his 2nd start and 3rd appearance. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 2 BB and 5 K in 8 IP.
- Last appearance: No decision, 4 IP in relief, 1 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 6-5 road loss to Seattle Mariners on Saturday
- Has 1 career appearance against the Diamondbacks, pitching 2 scoreless innings in relief
Montgomery (7-5, 6.37 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.66 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 in 77 2/3 IP.
- Last start: No decision, 3 IP, 1 ER, 1 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 4-2 road loss to Pittsburgh Pirates on Saturday
- Was winning pitcher in the D-backs’ 5-4 road win over Phillies on June 21, allowing 2 ER in 6 IP
- Is 1-1 with 6.30 ERA in 2 career starts vs. Phillies
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Phillies at Diamondbacks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:03 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Phillies -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Diamondbacks -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Phillies -1.5 (+145) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-175)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Phillies at Diamondbacks picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 7, Diamondbacks 6
Moneyline
Arizona is red-hot with 4 straight wins and 12 in 14 Games. But Montgomery is the weak spot in their rotation. His last 5 starts have alternated being good and bad. His last outing was not bad with 1 run allowed in 3 innings, and the Phillies have scored 6 runs or more in 3 of their last 4 Games.
BET PHILLIES (-110)
Run line/Against the spread
The Phillies’ last 8 wins have been by multiple runs, but 4 of the Diamondbacks’ last 7 losses have been only by 1 run. So while the plus odds to cover are nice, stick with the moneyline.
PASS.
Over/Under
Eight of Arizona’s last 11 games have had 10 or more total runs while 6 of the Phillies’ last 9 games have had at least 10 total runs.
BET OVER 9.5 (-105).
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