MLB

Padres vs Tigers Prediction - MLB Picks 7/21/23

Published

1y ago

Jul 21, 2023 / 1032 Views

Evan Walker

Detroit Tigers (44-52) vs San Diego Padres (46-51)

Game Info: Friday, July 21, 2023 at 6:40 pm (Comerica Park)

Reese Olson (1-3) (3.96) vs Seth Lugo (3-4) (3.78)

Betting Odds: Detroit Tigers +120 / San Diego Padres -145 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The San Diego Padres will play the Detroit Tigers in Game 1 of their series on Friday night at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Detroit has played well in their last two series, while the Padres have won one series and lost one series since the All-Star break.

Padres Preview

The San Diego Padres are 46-51 this season and they have lost four of their last six Games. San Diego is coming off of a series win against the Blue Jays, where they won two out of three Games. The San Diego pitching staff has a 3.78 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average this season. The Padres offense has scored 434 runs with a .234 batting average and a .324 on base percentage. Juan Soto is batting .262 with 17 home runs and 54 RBI’s for the Padres. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Seth Lugo, who is 3-4 with a 3.78 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 69.0 innings pitched this year.

Tigers Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 44-52 this season and they have won five of their last seven Games. Detroit is coming off of a series win against the Royals, where they won three out of four Games. The Detroit pitching staff has a 4.36 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average. The Tigers offense has scored 376 runs with a .230 batting average and a .299 on base percentage this year. Spencer Torkelson is batting .231 with 14 home runs and 52 RBI’s for the Tigers. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Reese Olson, who is 1-3 with a 3.96 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP over 38.2 innings pitched this season.

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Trends

San Diego is 7-1 in their last 8 interleague Games and 0-6 in Lugo’s last 6 road starts. The over is 5-0-1 in San Diego’s last 6 Friday Games. Detroit is 4-1 in their last 5 Games against a right handed starting pitcher. The over is 4-0 in Detroit’s last 4 interleague home Games and the over is 5-0 in Detroit’s last 5 interleague Games as an underdog.

Pick

The Tigers come into this Game after winning two series against Seattle and Kansas City and continue to stay in the race for the AL Central. San Diego has been up and down this year, but they did just get a big series win in Toronto. The Padres are starting Seth Lugo, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, but did allow five earned runs to the Phillies last time out. Detroit is starting Reese Olson, who has allowed five earned runs over his last five appearances (19.1 IP). Olson has been very strong for the Tigers recently, while Lugo should have a good outing against a poor hitting Detroit team. I like the under here.

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