NY Yankees vs Houston Astros Prediction 5-7-24 Picks

The Houston Astros and the New York Yankees meet Tuesday in MLB action from Yankee Stadium. Here’s a NY Yankees vs Houston Astros Prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-Game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the Game.

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Astros are coming off a weekend series versus the Seattle Mariners. Houston managed a 5-3 win in the Friday opener, but lost the other two Games 5-0 and 5-4 to drop the set. In Sunday’s one-run defeat, Houston got two RBI and a homer fro both Kyle Tucker and Jon Singleton. Starter Hunter Brown left after 4.1 innings and two earned runs.

In the starting pitcher role for the Astros on Tuesday it’ll be Justin Verlander. Over his three starts this year Verlander is 1-0 with a 2.08 ERA and 13 Ks in 17.1 innings. Verlander has a 258-141 career record with a 3.23 ERA in 512 starts total.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

Over on the Yankees’ side, they played well against the Detroit Tigers over the weekend. New York managed a three-Game sweep in that matchup with wins 2-1, 5-3 and 5-2. It was a nice bounce-back after dropping three of four to the Baltimore Orioles last week. In Sunday’s win, the Yankees got a solo homer and two hits from Aaron Judge.

It’ll be Luis Gil in the starting pitcher role for the Yankees on Tuesday. This year Gil has gone 2-1 with a 3.19 ERA in six starts. He’s got 40 Ks in 31.0 innings. Gil has a career record of 3-2 with a  3.50 ERA in 13 starts.

Astros vs Yankees Injury Notes

Astros SP Luis Garcia (elbow) completed a bullpen session on Friday. RP Penn Murfee (elbow) was cleared recently to begin throwing off the slope of a mound.

Yankees 3B DJ LeMahieu (foot) resumed hitting recently but doesn’t seem close to a rehab assignment.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Luis Gil Record this season: 2-1 ERA: 3.19
• The Yankees have won each of their last seven games against the Astros.
• The Astros have lost each of their last six road games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games against the Yankees following a home loss.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against the Astros.
• The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games.

Why the Houston Astros will win

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Justin Verlander Record this season: 1-0 ERA: 2.08
• The underdogs have won each of the last nine games between the Astros and Yankees.
• The Yankees have lost each of their last four games as favorites against the Astros following a home win.
• The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last 13 games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a loss.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against the Astros following a win.
• The Astros have led after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against AL East opponents.
• The Astros have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Yankees’ last eight night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Astros’ last six games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Astros’ last seven games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last three night games.

NY Yankees vs Houston Astros Prediction

I’ll lean toward the Yankees. Gil had a bad start on April 25 versus the Milwaukee Brewers, giving up five earned on seven hits and two walks in 5.0 innings. In the other pair of his last three starts however, Gil has a combined zero earned runs in 12.0 innings with four hits and four walks. As for Verlander, he’s got just four earned over his last three starts in 17.1 innings total. We should have a pretty fun starter matchup if both guys are on point.

New York also needs to keep the bats going. The Yankees had five straight Games with two or fewer runs scored last week (a 2-3 run), but managed 10 combined in the two weekend matchups. It’s going to be tough to get many chances off Verlander though, so New York will have to be patient with the bats.