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NY Yankees vs Detroit Tigers Prediction 5-4-24 Picks

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Detroit Tigers (18-13) vs. NY Yankees (20-13)
May 4, 2024 1:05 pm EDT
The Line: NY Yankees -169 / Detroit Tigers +144; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Detroit Tigers and NY Yankees meet Saturday in MLB Game 2 action at Yankee Stadium. Here’s a NY Yankees vs Detroit Tigers Prediction.

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 18-14 this season after wins over the Royals and Cardinals. The Detroit Tigers have scored 16 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 games. The Detroit Tigers have won 4 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Riley Greene leads the Detroit Tigers with 31 hits and 15 RBI while Mark Canha and Kerry Carpenter have combined for 53 hits and 31 RBI.

NY Yankees Betting Preview

The NY Yankees are 21-13 this season after wins over the Brewers and Orioles. The NY Yankees have scored 6 runs in their last 3 Games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 straight Games. The NY Yankees have lost 5 of their last 7 Games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Juan Soto leads the NY Yankees with 41 hits and 25 RBI, while Anthony Volpe and Anthony Rizzo have combined for 67 hits and 30 RBI.

Detroit Tigers vs NY Yankees Pitching Matchup

Casey Mize gets the ball for the Detroit Tigers, and he is 1-0 with a 3.08 ERA and 18 strikeouts this season. Mize has allowed 9 earned runs through 26.1 innings, and he has a 2.93 ERA and .250 allowed batting average on the road. This will be Mize’s second career Game against the NY Yankees.

Clarke Schmidt gets the ball for the NY Yankees, and he is 2-1 with a 3.19 ERA and 34 strikeouts this season. Schmidt has allowed 8 earned runs in his last 25.2 innings, and the Yankees are 5-1 this season when he pitches. Schmidt has a 3.60 ERA and .288 allowed batting average in 15 home innings. Schmidt is 2-0 with a 4.11 ERA and 20 strikeouts in his career against the Detroit Tigers.

Why the New York Yankees will win

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Clarke Schmidt Record this season: 2-1 ERA: 3.19
  • The Yankees have won each of their last eight Saturday day games against AL Central opponents.
  • The Tigers have lost nine of their last 10 games at Yankee Stadium.
  • The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last five Saturday home games against AL Central opponents.
  • The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 16 day games against American League opponents.
  • The Yankees have led after 5 innings in each of their last six Saturday games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last five day games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Casey Mize Record this season: 1-0 ERA: 3.08
  • The Tigers have won each of their last four games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
  • The Yankees have lost four of their last five games as home favorites following a home win.
  • The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as underdogs following a road loss.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine home games after playing the previous day.
  • The Tigers have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games as underdogs.
  • The Tigers have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games as underdogs.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Tigers’ last eight day games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Yankees’ last six games as favorites against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last four games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last three games as underdogs.

NY Yankees vs Detroit Tigers Prediction

The NY Yankees are going to get the benefit of the doubt because they’re the Yankees and at home. And while Clarke Schmidt has had success this season, he’s been hittable at Yankee Stadium. Casey Mize has been the more consistent pitcher up to this point, and he’s done some of his best work this season at home. The Tigers continue to win Games and are worth a look in the underdog role as long as they stay about a .500 record. I like the Tigers pitching matchup in this spot. Give me the road dog with a quick turnaround on Saturday afternoon.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Detroit Tigers +144

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