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NY Mets vs San Francisco Giants Prediction 5-25-24 Picks

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San Francisco Giants (26-26) vs. NY Mets (21-29)
May 25, 2024 1:40 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets -133 / San Francisco Giants +113; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The San Francisco Giants and NY Mets meet Saturday in MLB Game 2 action at Citi Field. Here’s a NY Mets vs San Francisco Giants Prediction.

San Francisco Giants Betting Preview

The San Francisco Giants look to get a Game above a .500 record after wins over the Rockies and Pirates. The San Francisco Giants have scored 24 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 8 straight Games. The San Francisco Giants have won 9 of their last 11 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Matt Chapman leads the San Francisco Giants with 48 hits and 27 RBI while Thairo Estrada and LaMonte Wade Jr. have combined for 88 hits and 46 RBI.

NY Mets Betting Preview

The NY Mets have lost 4 straight Games which includes a sweep of the Cleveland Guardians. The NY Mets have scored 16 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 9 Games. The NY Mets have lost 5 of their last 7 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Starling Marte leads the NY Mets with 47 hits and 18 RBI while Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor have combined for 89 hits and 50 RBI.

San Francisco Giants vs NY Mets Pitching Matchup

Jordan Hicks gets the ball for the San Francisco Giants, and he is 4-1 with a 2.38 ERA and 40 strikeouts this season. Hicks has allowed 21 hits and 8 earned runs in his last 19 innings. Hicks has a 3.32 ERA and .227 allowed batting average in 19 road innings. Hicks is 0-1 with a 3.38 ERA and 13 strikeouts in his career against the NY Mets.

Luis Severino gets the ball for the NY Mets, and he is 2-2 with a 3.48 ERA and 44 strikeouts this season. Severino has allowed 14 hits and 11 runs in his last 16.2 innings. Severino has a 2.17 ERA and .210 allowed batting average in 29 home innings. This will be Severino’s second career Game against the San Francisco Giants.

Why the San Francisco Giants will win

  • The Giants have won each of their last six games after playing the previous day.
  • The Mets have lost each of their last four games.
  • The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games at Citi Field.
  • The Giants have covered the run line in each of their last six games after playing the previous day.
  • The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three home day games.
  • The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five day games at Citi Field against National League opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • Harrison Bader has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances in day games.
  • Harrison Bader has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances in day games.
  • Luis Severino has recorded five or more strikeouts in 23 of his last 29 appearances in day games.
  • Pete Alonso has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mets’ last four home games against NL West opponents.
  • Pete Alonso has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two home games against the Giants.
  • Harrison Bader has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in day games.
  • Pete Alonso has scored at least one run in each of the Mets’ last six games against the Giants.

San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts

  • Matt Chapman has hit a home run in three of the Giants’ last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Matt Chapman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Thairo Estrada has scored at least one run in each of the Giants’ last eight games.
  • Michael Conforto has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Matt Chapman has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
  • Thairo Estrada has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Giants’ last six road games against NL East opponents.
  • Thairo Estrada has recorded a Double in three of the Giants’ last four games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

NY Mets vs San Francisco Giants Prediction

We’re getting plus money with the team in better form. Regardless of how you slice it, the San Francisco Giants are playing the better baseball than the NY Mets. In fact, the Mets are arguably the most disappointing team in baseball and not a team that should be trusted in the favorite role. Luis Severino has pitched his best at Citi Field, but Jordan Hicks has been the better pitcher this season overall as well. The value is with the Giants and the more favorable price. I’ll keep fading the Mets until they get their act together. Give me the Giants as road underdogs. 

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: San Francisco Giants +113

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