The Toronto Blue Jays (38-44) welcome the New York Yankees (53-32) to Rogers Centre Sunday for the finale of their 4-Game series. First pitch is set for 1:37 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Yankees vs. Blue Jays odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Blue Jays lead 5-4
The Blue Jays beat the Yankees 9-3 Saturday. That game followed a 16-5 win for New York Friday. Toronto has won 2 of 3 games in the series and 3 of its last 4. Prior to that 4-game span, it had lost 7 in a row. The Blue Jays are 5-1 against the spread (ATS) over their last 6 and 39-43 ATS on the season.
The Yankees, who have been among the best teams in the MLB this season, have lost 5 of their last 6 games and 8 of their last 10. New York hasn’t won a series June 13th. It is still 29-18 on the road this season and 47-38 ATS.
Yankees at Blue Jays projected starters
RHP Gerrit Cole vs. RHP Kevin Gausman
Cole (0-1, 9.00 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.88 WHIP, 5.6 BB/9 and 5.6 K/9 in 8 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 4 BB, 0 K in a 9-7 road loss to the New York Mets Tuesday
- 2023 road splits: 6-2, 2.34 ERA (96 1/3 IP, 25 ER), 0.96 WHIP, 7 HR, 8.7 K/9 in 15 starts
- Career vs. Blue Jays: 8-2, 2.77 ERA (116 2/3 IP, 46 ER), 1.08 WHIP, 12.9 K/9 in 16 starts
Gausman (6-6, 4.26 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 86 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 5 K in a 9-4 road win over the Boston Red Sox Tuesday
- 2024 home splits: 1-4, 6.43 ERA (42 IP, 30 ER), 1.60 WHIP, 8 HR, 8.6 K/9 in 8 starts
- Career vs. Yankees: 10-8, 3.22 ERA (164 2/3 IP, 59 ER), 1.25 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 in 33 appearances (27 starts)
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Yankees at Blue Jays odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:23 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Yankees -124 (bet $124 to win $100) | Blue Jays +106 (bet $100 to win $106)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+136) | Blue Jays +1.5 (-164)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -108 | U: -112)
Yankees at Blue Jays picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 6, Blue Jays 4
Moneyline
BET YANKEES (-124).
New York should bounce as it has been among the best teams in the MLB despite its recent struggles. With a 6-time All-Star pitcher on the mound and a 29-18 road record, it is a strong play here.
The Yankees are also 18-13 following a win while the Blue Jays are the 6th-worst team in the MLB following a loss at 14-22, They are also just 20-20 at home. Toronto is 3-8 as a home underdog.
Back YANKEES (-124).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
There’s not a lot of value here either way. The Yankees are too risky as a run-line favorite while the Blue Jays are too expensive as a home underdog, especially given how poorly New York has played as of late.
Over/Under
BET OVER 8 (-108).
New York has gone Over in 5 straight games and allowed at least 9 runs in 4 of its last 5 games. The total has gone Over in both of Cole’s starts this season. The Yankees are 44-38-3 O/U.
The Blue Jays have gone Over in 6 straight games and have scored at least 5 runs in all 6 and allowing at least 6 in 3 of those games. Gausman’s last 2 starts have topped the projected total as well.
Take OVER 8 (-108).
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