The Los Angeles Angels (48-63) welcome the New York Mets (58-52) to Angel Stadium for the finale of their 3-game series Sunday. First pitch is set for 4:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Angels odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
The Mets opened the series with a 5-1 win over the Angels Friday and then lost 5-4 Saturday, closing as a favorite in both.
New York has won 3 of its last 5 games, allowing 2 of fewer runs in each victory. It has performed well over the last few weeks, posting an 8-4 record over its last dozen games. The Mets have struggled offensively though, scoring 5 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 7 games. New York is 28-23 on the road this season.
The Angels, who are 25-35 at home, have played 9 straight games at Angel Stadium and have won just 3 of those. Los Angeles lost 2 of 3 to the Colorado Rockies in the series prior and 3 of 4 to the Oakland A’s before that. However, Los Angeles is 61-50 against the spread (ATS).
Mets at Angels projected starters
LHP Jose Quintana vs. RHP Griffin Canning
Quintana (6-6, 3.89 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 113 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 15-2 home win over the Minnesota Twins Monday
- 2024 away splits: 3-2, 4.50 ERA (52 IP, 26 ER), 1.40 WHIP, 4 HR, 6.6 K/9 in 10 starts
- Career vs. Angels: 1-3, 4.18 ERA (28 IP, 13 ER), 1.68 WHIP, 6.1 K/9 in 5 starts
Canning (3-10, 5.25 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 in 116 2/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 6 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 10-7 home win over the Colorado Rockies Tuesday
- 2024 home splits: 3-2, 4.77 ERA (66 IP, 35 ER), 1.47 WHIP, 10 HR, 6.3 K/9 in 12 starts
- Career vs. Mets: 0-0, 1.29 ERA (7 IP, 1 ER), 0.86 WHIP, 11.6 K/9 in 1 start
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Mets at Angels odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:41 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mets -154 (bet $154 to win $100) | Angels +130 (bet $100 to win $130)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+100) | Angels +1.5 (-120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -104 | U: -118)
Mets at Angels picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 6, Angels 3
Moneyline
BET METS (-154).
The Angels have been too good at covering to play the Mets on the run line. However, at this price, New York is a good play to come out on top. The Mets have won 3 of Quintana’s last 4 road starts and have won 4 of their last 5 Games on the road.
The Angels have struggled immensely to win games at home, and their offense hasn’t produced recently either. They have scored 1 run in 3 of their last 7 games and have allowed at least 5 runs in 4 of their last 6. Los Angeles is 1-3 over its last 4 at home, snapping a 3-game losing streak Saturday.
Considering those trends, take METS (-154).
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The Angeles are 1-3 ATS over their last 4 games yet are 61-50 ATS and typically have been a heavy underdog. New York is 4-1 ATS over its last 5 yet has better value on the moneyline.
Avoid this play.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 10 (-118).
The Angels are 3-4-1 O/U in their last 8 games, and the Mets are 3-3-1 O/U in their last 7.
New York has scored 5 or fewer in 4 straight Games and has allowed 5 or fewer in 3 of those. It is 6-7-1 O/U in its last 14. The Mets have allowed 4 runs in total in Quintana’s last 2 starts.
Take UNDER 10 (-118).
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