The Colorado Rockies (42-73) welcome the New York Mets (60-54) to Coors Field Thursday for the finale of their 3-game series. First pitch is set for 3:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Rockies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Mets lead 3-2
The Rockies opened the series with a 6-3 win Tuesday, but the Mets followed that up with a 5-3 victory on Wednesday. Colorado closed as a sizable underdog in both.
The Mets, who are 30-25 on the road, have struggled over the last 10 days, losing 4 of their last 7 games. New York has allowed 3 runs or fewer in 3 of its last 4 games and is 57-57 against the spread (ATS).
The Rockies have performed far better at Coors Field (25-30) than on the road (17-43). They are 8-4 over their last 12 home games. Colorado is 58-57 ATS on the season.
Mets at Rockies projected starters
LHP David Peterson vs. LHP Austin Gomber
Peterson (5-1, 3.47 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 in 59 2/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 5-4 road loss to the Los Angeles Angels Saturday
- 2024 away splits: 3-0, 3.15 ERA (34 1/3 IP, 12 ER), 1.31 WHIP, 3 HR, 6.0 K/9 in 6 starts
- Career vs. Rockies: 1-1, 2.25 ERA (12 IP, 3 ER), 1.00 WHIP, 7.5 K/9 in 2 starts
Gomber (3-7, 4.66 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 in 116 IP.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 5-2 road win over the San Diego Padres Friday
- 2024 home splits: 1-1, 3.83 ERA (54 IP, 23 ER), 1.19 WHIP, 10 HR, 5.7 K/9 in 9 starts
- Career vs. Mets: 2-1, 4.32 ERA (25 IP, 12 ER), 1.16 WHIP, 5.8 K/9 in 4 starts
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Mets at Rockies odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:22 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mets -154 (bet $154 to win $100) | Rockies +130 (bet $100 to win $130)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (-104) | Rockies +1.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Mets at Rockies picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 5, Rockies 4
Moneyline
PASS.
The Mets have the better option starting on the mound and should be able to come out on top. However, at -154, they’re just too expensive to take given the risk involved.
The Rockies aren’t worth a play as a plus-money underdog either.
Run line/Against the spread
BET ROCKIES +1.5 (-115).
The Rockies have won in 2 of Gomber’s last 3 starts and have covered in all 3. They have been surging lately at home and have scored 38 runs in their last 5 home games. Colorado is a league-best 30-23 ATS at home.
The Mets have lost 3 of their last 5 and are 2-3 ATS in those games. They are 0-2 ATS in Peterson’s last 2 starts as well. The Mets are 29-25 ATS on the road, a record which sits in the bottom half of the league.
Considering those trends, take ROCKIES +1.5 (-115).
Over/Under
BET UNDER 10.5 (-105).
The Mets are 0-5-1 O/U in their last 6 Games and have allowed 3 or fewer in 4 of their last 6 Games. New York has scored 6 or fewer in 8 straight as well.
The Rockies have gone Under in 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 or fewer in 3 of their last 4. They have struggled to find consistently offensively, and that should continue against a pitcher of Peterson’s caliber.
Take UNDER 10.5 (-105).
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