MLB

Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 6-20-24 Picks

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Jun 20, 2024 / 606 Views

Tampa Bay Rays (35-39) vs. Minnesota Twins (41-33)
June 20, 2024 1:10 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Twins -120 / Tampa Bay Rays +102; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Tampa Bay Rays and Minnesota Twins meet Thursday in MLB Game 3 action at Target Field. Here’s a Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction. This article will include a Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays Pick.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 35-39 on the year and play the Pirates and Mariners next. The Tampa Bay Rays have scored 17 runs in their last 3 Games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 7 Games. The Tampa Bay Rays have lost 7 of their last 9 Games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Yandy Diaz leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 76 hits and 31 RBI, while Isaac Paredes and Amed Rosario have combined for 134 hits and 62 RBI.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 41-33 on the year and play the Athletics and Diamondbacks next. The Minnesota Twins have scored 17 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 7 of their last 8 Games. The Minnesota Twins have won 6 straight Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Willi Castro leads the Minnesota Twins with 68 hits and 21 RBI, while Carlos Correa and Carlos Santana have combined for 120 hits and 72 RBI.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Minnesota Twins Pitching Pick Matchup

Zack Littell gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he is 2-5 with a 4.24 ERA and 71 strikeouts this season. Littell has allowed 26 hits and 12 earned runs in his last 14 innings. Littell has a 5.40 ERA and .349 allowed batting average in 28.1 road innings. Littell is 0-1 with a 3.00 ERA and 9 strikeouts in his career against the Minnesota Twins.

Simeon Woods Richardson gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 2-1 with a 3.29 ERA and 46 strikeouts this season. Richardson has allowed 13 hits and 8 runs in his last 14.2 innings. Richardson has a 3.60 ERA and .203 allowed batting average in 20 home innings. This will be Richardson’s first career game against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

The Rays have lost each of their last eight games as underdogs against AL Central opponents following a win.
The Twins have won seven of their last eight games after going to extra innings.
The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last eight games after going to extra innings.
The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five day games against AL Central opponents following a road win.
The Twins have led after 3 innings in each of their last three day games.
The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against American League opponents.
The Twins have won the first inning in each of their last three day games.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

Carlos Santana has hit a home run in each of the Twins’ last two day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
Max Kepler has recorded a Double in each of the Twins’ last three day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
Carlos Correa has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
Carlos Correa has recorded at least one Single in nine of the Twins’ last 10 games.
Carlos Santana has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven home appearances against the Rays.
Trevor Larnach has recorded a hit in each of his last seven appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
Manuel Margot has scored at least one run in six of the Twins’ last seven day games.
Carlos Correa ranks 7th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.310) this season.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in two of the Rays’ last three games as underdogs.
Randy Arozarena has recorded an RBI in each of the Rays’ last three day games against opponents that held a winning record.
Randy Arozarena has scored at least one run in 10 of the Rays’ last 11 games against the Twins.
Isaac Paredes has recorded a Single in each of the Rays’ last seven games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
Randy Arozarena has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rays’ last 11 games at Target Field.
Amed Rosario has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight road appearances after playing the previous day.

Matchup/League Facts

The Minnesota Twins rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (195).
The Minnesota Twins rank 4th in the league for doubles this season (139).
The Tampa Bay Rays rank 30th in the league for home runs allowed this season (102).
The Tampa Bay Rays rank 28th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.357).

Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

The Minnesota Twins are playing some of their best ball of the season with wins in 6 of their last 7 Games, and home teams usually have the edge in quick turnarounds. The Tampa Bay Rays are hard to trust due to their lack of consistent offense, and Zack Littell has been hit or miss all season. Littell has had most of his misses on the road. Simeon Woods Richardson has been the better pitcher this season with a 3.29 ERA and 1.15 WHIP through 53.2 innings. Give me the Twins and the cheap price in Game 3.