MLB

Minnesota Twins vs LA Angels Prediction 9-11-24 MLB Picks

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2m ago

Sep 11, 2024 / 5484 Views

Evan Walker

LA Angels (60-85) vs. Minnesota Twins (77-68)
September 11, 2024 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Twins -217 / LA Angels +181; Over/Under: +9
(Get latest betting odds)

The LA Angels and Minnesota Twins meet Wednesday in MLB Game 3 action at Target Field. Here’s a Minnesota Twins vs LA Angels Prediction. This article will include a Minnesota Twins vs LA Angels Pick.

LA Angels Betting Preview

The LA Angels are 60-85 on the year and play the Astros and White Sox next. The LA Angels have scored 15 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 5 straight Games. The LA Angels have won 4 of their last 7 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Taylor Ward leads the LA Angels with 129 hits and 66 RBI, while Zach Neto and Nolan Schanuel have combined for 241 hits and 117 RBI.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 77-68 on the year and play the Reds and Guardians next. The Minnesota Twins have scored 12 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 10 Games. The Minnesota Twins have won 4 of their last 5 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Willi Castro leads the Minnesota Twins with 124 hits and 52 RBI, while Jose Miranda and Carlos Santana have combined for 224 hits and 112 RBI.

LA Angels vs Minnesota Twins Pitching Pick Matchup

Jack Kochanowicz gets the ball for the LA Angels, and he is 2-4 with a 4.89 ERA and 12 strikeouts this season. Kochanowicz has allowed 13 hits and 3 runs in his last 12 innings. Kochanowicz has a 4.55 ERA and a .289 allowed batting average in 29.2 road innings. This will be Kochanowicz’s first career Game against the Minnesota Twins.

Zebby Matthews gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 1-3 with a 7.36 ERA and 22 strikeouts this season. Matthews has allowed 19 hits and 13 runs in his last 7 innings. Matthews has a 9.00 ERA and a .345 allowed batting average in 12 home innings. This will be Matthews’ first career Game against the LA Angels.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

The Twins have won 16 of their last 18 night games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
The Angels have lost four of their last five night games against AL Central opponents.
The Twins have covered the run line in five of their last six games against the Angels.
The Angels have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four games.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

Carlos Santana has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last seven appearances against the Angels.
Kyle Farmer has hit a home run in each of the Twins’ last three night games against opponents that held a losing record.
Byron Buxton has recorded at least one Double in nine of his last 12 appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
Willi Castro has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances against the Angels.
Carlos Correa has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances in night games.
Max Kepler has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six home appearances against AL West opponents.
Willi Castro has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 16 appearances against the Angels.

Los Angeles Angels Player Prop Facts

Zach Neto has recorded a Double in each of the Angels’ last three games against AL opponents.
Nolan Schanuel has recorded a Single in each of his seven previous appearances against the Twins.
Luis Rengifo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances against AL Central opponents.
Luis Rengifo has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances with the Angels as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
Luis Rengifo has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 15 appearances against AL Central opponents.
Mike Trout has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Mike Trout has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four road appearances against the Twins.

Matchup/League Facts

The Minnesota Twins rank 2nd in the league for doubles this season (279).
The Minnesota Twins rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (369).
The Los Angeles Angels rank 29th in the league for strikeouts this season (1126).
The Los Angeles Angels rank 28th in the league for hits this season (1094).

Minnesota Twins vs LA Angels Prediction

This line is insane when you consider how awful Zebby Matthews has been in limited sample size, but it’s a spot where I won’t overthink and just side with the better team. It’s not like Jack Kochanowicz has lit the world on fire and the Angels suck as a team. The Twins need to take advantage of lesser opponents, especially at home, if they’re going to make the postseason. I’ll back the Twins and the RL for max betting value.