Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors Player Prop Picks 11-12-24 Picks

Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors Player Prop Picks 11-12-24

The Toronto Raptors will face the Milwaukee Bucks on November 12, 2024, at Fiserv Forum. Milwaukee has struggled this season coming into this Game 2-8 and 3-7 against the Spread. They’re coming off a tough loss against the Knicks in a Game they were up for the majority of the time. It’s tough to say what is exactly wrong with this team but it’s shocking to see a team that was so dominant a couple of years ago struggle like the Bucks have been. 

The Bucks will have a favorable matchup on Tuesday going against a Raptors team that comes into this one 2-9 and has lost four of their last five Games. Vegas has set the spread for this Game with the Bucks being 8.5-point favorites but that doesn’t mean the Bucks will run away with this one. The Raptors have kept Games close against some good teams this season and have been one of the best cover teams in the league. 

Gradey Dick Over 2.5 Three Pointers

Gradey Dick’s performance with the Toronto Raptors in the 2024-25 season has shown his significant improvement as a scorer, especially with his three-point shooting. Over his first few games, he has averaged around 19.0 points per game, showcasing his ability to score from beyond the arc. Specifically, Dick is hitting 2.3 three-pointers per game on 35.7% shooting. These stats demonstrate that he has developed into a reliable outside shooter, contributing to his overall scoring ability. His three-point shooting volume and efficiency will be key to his role as a shooter in the Raptors’ offense throughout the season.

We’ve seen Gradey Dick go back-to-back Games with only two three-pointers but this should be a good spot for him to get back on track and get over this 2.5 line. One of the downfall of this Milwaukee Bucks team this season has been how poor their perimeter defense has been. They’re allowing 14.9 three-pointers per Game which is the fourth most in the league. I expect the Bucks to have their hands full with guarding Barrett & Quickley it should lead to three-point opportunities for Gradey Dick.

RJ Barrett Under 21.5 Points

RJ Barrett is having a strong 2024-25 season, averaging 23.1 points per game along with 6.1 assists and 5.6 rebounds. He has been a primary offensive weapon for the Raptors, contributing both as a scorer and facilitator. His shooting has been solid, though he has had a few rough shooting nights, especially from three-point range. Barrett’s performances include multiple 30-point games, underscoring his offensive capability and versatility.

After two 30-point Games in a row, we’ve seen RJ Barrett’s scoring decrease significantly. It seems like Barrett had a stretch where he was hot but has since come down to earth. With IMMAnuel Quickley back in the lineup RJ Barrertt’s scoring will continue to simmer as the season goes on. Since Quickley has returned we’ve seen him have a 13-point and 18-point Game. Until Vegas adjusts like line there’s a lot of value to take the under on RJ Barrett’s points. 

Damian Lillard Over 6.5 Assists

For the 2024-25 NBA season, Damian Lillard is averaging 6.6 assists per game in 10 games played so far. In addition to his scoring, which is at 26.0 points per game, Lillard has been distributing the ball well, maintaining a solid assist rate. His assist numbers have fluctuated across games, but he is consistently involved in playmaking for the Milwaukee Bucks. Lillard’s assists per game reflect his role as the primary offensive initiator, especially with his ability to draw defenders and set up his teammates. His assist-to-turnover ratio and overall playmaking contribute significantly to the team’s offense.

Taking PG’s overs on assists against the Raptors has been a profitable system for me. This Toronto team has struggled on the defensive side of the ball. They’re allowing 26.4 assists per game to opposing teams which is the 10th most in the league. In a matchup with the Bucks favored by 8.5, I expect Lillard to get over this number of 6.5 assists.