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Milwaukee Brewers vs Washington Nationals Prediction 7-13-24 Picks

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Washington Nationals (43-52) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (54-41)
July 13, 2024 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: Milwaukee Brewers -125 / Washington Nationals +115; Over/Under: +9
(Get latest betting odds)

The Washington Nationals and the Milwaukee Brewers meet Saturday in MLB action from American Family Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this Game. Here’s a Milwaukee Brewers vs Washington Nationals Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Washington Nationals will send out Mitchell Parker for the start here and Parker is 5-5 with a 3.44 ERA and 74 strikeouts this season. This will be Parker’s first career start against the Brewers. The Milwaukee Brewers will send out Dallas Keuchel for the start here and Keuchel is 0-0 with a 4.61 ERA and 9 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Washington, Keuchel is 1-3 with a 4.13 ERA and 18 strikeouts.

Washington Nationals Recap

The Washington Nationals come into this one looking to build on their series-opening 5-2 win over the Brewers on Friday. The win gave the Nationals an early chance at bouncing back from back-to-back series losses to the Mets and Cardinals over the last week.

Nationals Trying To Get Back Into NL Playoff Hunt

CJ Abrams leads the Nationals with 93 hits along with 14 home runs and 46 RBIs to go along with 21 doubles, 5 triples and 15 stolen bases. Luis Garcia Jr. has 17 doubles with 44 RBIs and 12 stolen bases. Jacob Young has 20 stolen bases while Lane Thomas has 22 stolen bases and Jesse Winker has 12 stolen bases with 11 home runs and 43 RBIs this season.

Why the Washington Nationals will win

  • The Brewers have lost five of their last six games as favorites against NL East opponents.
  • The Nationals have won seven of their last eight Saturday day games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.
  • The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites against NL East opponents following a home loss.
  • The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last eight Saturday games.

Milwaukee Brewers Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers come into this one looking to rebound after their series-opening loss at the hands of the Nats on Friday. The loss put the Brewers behind the 8-ball in terms of trying to bounce back from back-to-back series losses to the Pirates and Dodgers over the last week.

Brewers Still Holding On Atop NL Central

William Contreras leads the Brewers with 107 hits including 23 doubles and 54 RBIs along with 10 home runs and a .352 OBP while Rhys Hoskins has 14 home runs with 44 RBIs and Willy Adames has 22 doubles with 14 home runs and 63 RBIs. Brice Turang leads the Brewers with 29 stolen bases while Adames has a team-high 92 strikeouts as well this season.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

  • The Brewers have won each of their last 11 day games against National League opponents following a home loss.
  • The Nationals have lost each of their last six games against NL Central opponents following a win.
  • The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four day games following a road win.
  • The Brewers have covered the run line in five of their last six home games against National League opponents following a loss.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Washington Nationals Prediction

I’m on the over here. I like what Mitchell Parker’s brought to the table for Washington’s rotation as he’s been able to take up a lot of innings, but the issue here is that he does pitch better at home and being on the road against a decent Brewers team isn’t going to help his cause. On the other side, I know from watching him what Dallas Keuchel is, and he’s a pitcher that normally gets hit hard more often than not and don’t let last start with 4.1 shutout innings against the Dodgers fool you, he still gave up 5 walks in that start. Keuchel was roughed up in his lone home start this season and I think Washington hits him here as well. Give me the over.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Over 9

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