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Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction 7-10-24 Picks

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Pittsburgh Pirates (44-47) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (53-39)
July 10, 2024 8:10 pm EDT
The Line: Milwaukee Brewers -152 / Pittsburgh Pirates +127; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Pittsburgh Pirates and Milwaukee Brewers meet Wednesday in MLB Game 2 action at American Family Field. Here’s a Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction. This article will include a Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pick.

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 44-47 on the year after Games against the Cardinals and Mets. The Pittsburgh Pirates have scored 22 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 9 Games. The Pittsburgh Pirates have won 4 straight Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Bryan Reynolds leads the Pittsburgh Pirates with 103 hits and 56 RBI, while Oneil Cruz and Andrew McCutchen have combined for 139 hits and 66 RBI.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 53-39 on the year after Games against the Rockies and Dodgers. The Milwaukee Brewers have scored 14 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 9 Games. The Milwaukee Brewers have won 4 of their last 6 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. William Contreras leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 106 hits and 52 RBI, while Brice Turang and Willy Adames have combined for 173 hits and 96 RBI.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Pitching Pick Matchup

Martin Perez gets the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he is 1-4 with a 4.85 ERA and 52 strikeouts this season. Perez has allowed 15 hits and 7 runs in his last 11.1 innings. Perez has a 5.97 ERA and .315 allowed batting average in 31.2 road innings. Perez is 0-2 with a 8.31 ERA and 11 strikeouts in his career against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Tobias Myers gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 5-3 with a 3.52 ERA and 56 strikeouts this season. Myers has allowed 15 hits and 7 runs in his last 12 innings. Myers has a 4.97 ERA and .260 allowed batting average in 25.1 home innings. This will be Myers’ second career game against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will Beat the Pirates

  • The Pirates have lost each of their last seven night games at American Family Field following a road win.
  • The Brewers have won each of their last seven home games following a loss.
  • The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last four games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
  • The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games against National League opponents following a road win.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

  • William Contreras has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Brewers’ last four games as favorites against NL opponents.
  • Christian Yelich has recorded at least one Single in 12 of his last 13 home appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Gary Sanchez has scored a run in each of his four previous appearances with the Brewers as favorites against the Pirates.
  • Gary Sanchez has recorded at least one RBI in three of his last four appearances with the Brewers as favorites against the Pirates.
  • Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against the Pirates.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

  • Bryan Reynolds has hit a home run in three of the Pirates’ last four games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
  • Yasmani Grandal has scored at least one run in each of his six previous Wednesday night appearances against teams that held a winning record.
  • Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Pirates’ last five games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Martin Perez has recorded four or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances in night games.
  • Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last 11 games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
  • Joey Bart has recorded two or more total bases in four of his last five appearances against the Brewers.
  • Oneil Cruz has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Pirates as underdogs against the Brewers.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Milwaukee Brewers rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (338).
  • The Milwaukee Brewers are one of only 3 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates rank 26th in the league for strikeouts against this season (849).
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates rank 25th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.299).

Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

Martin Perez just hasn’t been able to find his rhythm this season, and some of that may have to do with the lack of recent reps. I doubt a road Game against one of the best teams in the NL will help. The Milwaukee Brewers continue to play good ball and Tobias Myers has been sharp this season overall despite some hiccups at home. The price is reasonable. I’ll side with the Brewers on Wednesday to beat the Pirates.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -152

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