The Milwaukee Brewers (11-6) take on the St. Louis Cardinals (9-10) Friday in the opener of a 3-game set at Busch Stadium at 8:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Brewers won 8-5 last season
The Brew Crew dropped 2 of 3 against the San Diego Padres, but they won 1-0 Wednesday to snap a 3-game slide. They’re 2nd in BA (.277), OBP (.351) and OPS (.796) and 11th in the bigs with a 3.82 ERA. Milwaukee is 7-2 on the road thus far.
The Cards did what the Cards do and failed to complete a 3-game sweep over the Oakland Athletics with a 6-3 loss Wednesday. They’ve lost 6 of 10 as the offense has yet to awaken. The Cards are 23rd in BA (.226), 24th in OBP (.300) and 24th in OPS (.653). Their pitching has been better at 10th with a 3.74 ERA. STL is 3-3 at home.
Brewers at Cardinals projected starters
RHP Freddy Peralta vs. RHP Kyle Gibson
Peralta (2-0, 2.55 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 0.68 WHIP, 1.0 BB/9 and 13.2 K/9 over 17 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 11 K vs. Baltimore Orioles last Friday
- Last 5 regular season starts vs. STL: 1-4, 5.81 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, 30 K in 26 1/3 IP
Gibson (1-2, 6.16 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 5.2 K/9 in 19 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 2 K Saturday against Arizona Diamondbacks
- Last 5 starts vs. MIL: 0-1, 5.76 ERA, 2.04 WHIP, 23 K in 25 IP
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Brewers at Cardinals odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:50 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Brewers -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Cardinals +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+145) | Cardinals +1.5 (-175)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Brewers at Cardinals picks and predictions
Prediction
Brewers 4, Cardinals 3
Moneyline
Peralta has had some blowups against the Cards in the last couple of years, but that’s because he couldn’t locate his pitches. He has allowed just 2 BB with 26 K’s in his 3 starts. The Brewers are getting on base and getting runs in any way they can.
Take the BREWERS -120.
Run line/Against the spread
I’m keyed in on Gibson here, who has given up 36 hits in 25 IP in his last 5 starts against Milwaukee. He also gave up 6+ hits in his last 2 starts.
Take KYLE GIBSON OVER 5.5 HITS ALLOWED (+100) with some even-money dessert.
Over/Under
The Brewers are 9-1 O/U in their last 10, but those came at 3 hitters’ parks in Milwaukee, Cincinnati and Baltimore. The Cards are 3-7 O/U. The Over has hit just twice in the last 10 meetings.
This is a tiny total, but it’s expected to be 58 degrees with a 6-mph gust blowing in from left-center.
LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-110).
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