MLB

Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 7-4-24 Picks

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4m ago

Jul 05, 2024 / 154 Views

Evan Walker

Boston Red Sox (45-39) vs. Miami Marlins (30-55)
July 4, 2024 1:10 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins +149 / Boston Red Sox -179; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Boston Red Sox and Miami Marlins meet Thursday in MLB game 3 action at loanDepot park. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox Prediction. This article will include a Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox Pick.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 46-39 on the year and play the Yankees and Athletics next. The Boston Red Sox have scored 19 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 7 of their last 9 Games. The Boston Red Sox have won 14 of their last 15 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jarren Duran leads the Boston Red Sox with 101 hits and 40 RBI, while Rafael Devers and Ceddanne Rafaela have combined for 152 hits and 96 RBI.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 30-56 on the year and play the White Sox and Astros next. The Miami Marlins have scored 11 runs in their last 3 Games and 3 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 9 Games. The Miami Marlins have lost 6 of their last 8 Games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Bryan De La Cruz leads the Miami Marlins with 81 hits and 40 RBI, while Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Josh Bell have combined for 157 hits and 74 RBI.

Boston Red Sox vs Miami Marlins Pitching Pick Matchup

Nick Pivetta gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 4-5 with a 4.52 ERA and 68 strikeouts this season. Pivetta has allowed 29 hits and 15 runs in his last 26.1 innings. Pivetta has a 3.62 ERA and .252 allowed batting average in 32.1 road innings. Pivetta is 2-5 with a 5.23 ERA and 65 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins.

Kyle Tyler gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 0-1 with a 3.38 ERA and 7 strikeouts this season. Tyler has allowed 7 hits and 3 runs in his last 8.2 innings. Tyler will make his third career MLB start when he takes the mound. This will be Tyler’s first career Game against the Boston Red Sox.

Why the Boston Red Sox will Beat the Marlins

The Red Sox have won each of their last seven road games after playing the previous day.
The Marlins have lost each of their last 12 games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a home loss.
The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites against the Marlins following a win.
The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 home games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games.
The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven Thursday games against opponents that held a winning record.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

Jesus Sanchez has recorded an RBI in each of the Marlins’ last three games against AL East opponents.
Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances in day games.
Jazz Chisholm has scored a run in five of his last six home appearances after playing the previous day.
Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last nine day games against opponents that held a winning record.
Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one total base in each of the Marlins’ last nine day games against opponents that held a winning record.
Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in two of the Marlins’ last three games as home underdogs.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

Nick Pivetta has recorded a win in three of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Rafael Devers has scored at least one run in seven of the Red Sox’s last eight games.
Connor Wong has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 17 appearances.
Triston Casas has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
Connor Wong has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances.
Nick Pivetta has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with the Red Sox as road favorites against NL opponents.
Rafael Devers has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Red Sox’s last eight games as favorites.
Dominic Smith has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against the Marlins.
Rafael Devers has recorded at least one Single in each of the Red Sox’s last seven games against the Marlins.

Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

The Miami Marlins are back to their slumping ways where the offense isn’t producing and throwing out an inexperienced pitcher in Kyle Tyler doesn’t make them anymore attractive. The Boston Red Sox are starting to make their push for a wild card spot, and these are Games they need to take advantage of to keep making progress. Nick Pivetta has above average stuff and legit strikeout potential, and he’s facing a Marlins’ offense that’s dreadful at the moment. This should be a Red Sox sweep, and I’ll lay the RL to shave down the juice.