The Miami Marlins (40-68) and Atlanta Braves (58-49) meet Thursday to open a 4-game series. First pitch from Truist Park is set for 7:20 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Braves odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Atlanta leads 5-1
Miami beat the Tampa Bay Rays 6-2 Wednesday while covering as a +228 road underdog. The Marlins scored 5 unanswered runs after being down 2-1 to snap a streak of back-to-back losses.
Atlanta picked up a 6-2 win over the Milwaukee Brewers Wednesday while covering as a -112 road favorite. After being down 2-0, the Braves scored 6 unanswered runs. The Braves have won back-to-back games.
Marlins at Braves projected starters
RHP Max Meyer vs. RHP Charlie Morton
Meyer (2-0, 3.00 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 0.95 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 21 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 3 K in a 7-3 win at Milwaukee Saturday
- Career vs. Atlanta: 1-0, 1.50 ERA (6 IP, 1 ER), 6 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 1 start
Morton (5-6, 4.16 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 106 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 2 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 2 K in an 8-4 loss at the New York Mets Friday
- Career vs. Miami: 13-6, 4.14 ERA (145 2/3 IP, 67 ER), 1.21 WHIP, 8.8 K/9 in 25 starts
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Marlins at Braves odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 7:02 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Marlins +168 (bet $100 to win $168) | Braves -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-132) | Braves -1.5 (+110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: +100)
Marlins at Braves picks and predictions
Prediction
Braves 6, Marlins 3
Moneyline
PASS.
I like the Braves to win here as -200 home favorites, but the line is not worth the risk. Bet on the spread and/or total instead.
Run line/Against the spread
BET BRAVES -1.5 (+110).
Atlanta has won each of its last 4 overall matchups vs. Miami, only allowing the Marlins to come within 1-run once in those 4 games. The Braves are also 4-0 in their last 4 meetings with Miami in Atlanta.
This is a slightly risky bet as the Braves are the slightly colder team, entering at 4-6 in their last 10 while the Marlins are 6-4 in their last 10.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 8.5 (-122).
The Over has hit in 3 of Atlanta’s last 4 overall. For Miami, the Over is 4-1 in its last 5 home Games and is a dominant 8-1-1 in its last 10 overall. The Over is also 6-4 in the last 10 matchups between these squads.
Be aware the Under has hit in 2 of Atlanta’s last 3 home games and the Under has also hit in each of the last 3 Miami-Atlanta matchups in Atlanta.
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