Maple Leafs vs Senators Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NHL Game

It’s time to renew the rivalry between the Toronto Maple Leafs and Ottawa Senators tonight. 

The Sens have won three of the last four meetings, but the Leafs have been a great home team this year while Ottawa's struggling on the road. NHL odds reflect these trends, favoring Toronto tonight, and my Maple Leafs vs. Senators predictions are all for it. 

Find out why in my free NHL picks for this matchup on Tuesday, November 12 at 7:00 p.m. ET at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto live on TSN4.

Maple Leafs vs Senators prediction

My Leafs pick
Maple Leafs moneyline (-125 at Sports Interaction)

My Leafs analysis
The Toronto Maple Leafs are rolling, winning three straight heading into this much anticipated Battle of Ontario. 

The Buds are a little banged up heading into the first meeting of the season between the Leafs and Ottawa Senators as Auston Matthews is doubtful to return after missing the last three games and Max Pacioretty is now week-to-week with an injury he sustained over the weekend. 

However, Toronto has been playing some sound 200-foot hockey in Matthews’ absence, not allowing a single goal at 5-on-5 in the three games he’s missed, averaging a league-best 5.04 high-danger chances against in that span. I expect that sound defensive hockey to show up again tonight against the Senators.

Ottawa has had some success against Toronto in recent years, winning three of the last four meetings, but the trends suggest the Maple Leafs are the team to be betting on tonight. 

Toronto is 7-2 on home ice, outscoring their opponents 32-18 in those contests. Additionally, the power play has been elite of late, especially at Scotiabank Arena, with a 30% success rate on the year. That’s a hefty jump compared to its league-low 5% dud rate on the road.

As for the Senators, they’ve struggled as the away side this year with the league's worst road record while being outscored 24-18 in seven games. Special teams failures have been a big reason for the poor road performances, with a significant 26.5% drop in their power play success rate (42.3% → 15.8%) and just a 70% penalty kill. 

Maple Leafs vs Senators same-game parlay (SGP)

Maple Leafs moneyline

Maple Leafs score first

William Nylander anytime goal

+320 at Sports Interaction

Let’s roll with the Maple Leafs to score the first goal. They’ve been starting on time lately, cashing this prop in three straight games, and it’s paired very well with the moneyline play as the Leafs are 8-1 when they score first.

Finally, we’ll finish off the parlay by taking William Nylander to score. He’s been a big beneficiary of a hot power play and has a team-leading 11 goals. He’s also played well against Ottawa, with seven goals in the last 10 meetings.

Learn how to bet a same-Game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Maple Leafs vs Senators odds

Maple Leafs vs Senators live odds

Maple Leafs vs Senators opening odds

• Puck line: Toronto -150 | Ottawa +125
• Moneyline: Toronto -1.5 (+155) | Ottawa +1.5 (-190)
• Over/Under: Over 6 (-120) | Under 6 (+100)

Odds courtesy of Sports Interaction

Maple Leafs vs Senators trend

The Under is 16-10-4 combined between the Leafs and Sens this season. Find more NHL betting trends for Maple Leafs vs. Senators.

How to watch Maple Leafs vs Senators

Maple Leafs vs Senators latest injuries

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