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LA Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 8-5-24 MLB Picks

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Philadelphia Phillies (66-45) vs. LA Dodgers (65-47)
August 5, 2024 10:10 pm EDT
The Line: LA Dodgers -136 / Philadelphia Phillies +125; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Philadelphia Phillies and LA Dodgers meet Monday in MLB Game 1 action at Dodger Stadium. Here’s a LA Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction. This article will include a LA Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies Pick.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 66-45 on the year after playing the Yankees and Mariners. The Philadelphia Phillies have scored 13 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 6 Games. The Philadelphia Phillies have lost 6 of their last 9 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Alec Bohm leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 124 hits and 77 RBI, while Nick Castellanos and Bryce Harper have combined for 202 hits and 126 RBI. The Phillies will play against the Diamondbacks following this series.

LA Dodgers Betting Preview

The LA Dodgers are 65-47 on the year after playing the Padres and Athletics. The LA Dodgers have scored 18 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 7 Games. The LA Dodgers have won 7 of their last 10 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Shohei Ohtani leads the LA Dodgers with 131 hits and 79 RBI, while Teoscar Hernandez and Freddie Freeman have combined for 222 hits and 138 RBI.

Philadelphia Phillies vs LA Dodgers Pitching Pick Matchup

Aaron Nola gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 11-4 with a 3.43 ERA and 130 strikeouts this season. Nola has allowed 28 hits and 11 runs in his last 28.2 innings. Nola has a 3.47 ERA and .238 allowed batting average in 62.1 road innings. Nola is 3-1 with a 4.12 ERA and 70 strikeouts in his career against the LA Dodgers.

Tyler Glasnow gets the ball for the LA Dodgers, and he is 8-6 with a 3.50 ERA and 155 strikeouts this season. Glasnow has allowed 13 hits and 10 runs in his last 18 innings. Glasnow has a 3.63 ERA and .194 allowed batting average in 67 home innings. Glasnow is 0-0 with a 6.23 ERA and 15 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will Beat the Dodgers

  • The Dodgers have lost each of their last four games as favorites against the Phillies following a road win.
  • The Phillies have won each of their last six night games against the Dodgers following a win.
  • The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games following a road win.
  • The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last six Monday night road games against National League opponents.
  • The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games against NL West opponents.
  • The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games against NL West opponents.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit a home run in three of the Dodgers’ last four home games against NL East opponents.
  • Tyler Glasnow has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Tyler Glasnow has recorded eight or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine home appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Freddie Freeman has recorded a Double in each of the Dodgers’ last three home games against the Phillies.
  • Freddie Freeman has scored at least one run in each of the Dodgers’ last six games as favorites against the Phillies.
  • Mookie Betts has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against the Phillies.
  • Mookie Betts has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Dodgers’ last six games against the Phillies at Dodger Stadium.
  • Mookie Betts has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances against the Phillies.
  • Mookie Betts has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 appearances against the Phillies.
  • Shohei Ohtani ranks 2nd in the league in Home Runs (33) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Bryce Harper has recorded at least one Double in each of his last four road appearances against the Dodgers after playing the previous day.
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last four games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Alec Bohm has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last seven Monday night appearances with the Phillies as underdogs.
  • Aaron Nola has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
  • Trea Turner has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances at Dodger Stadium.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 14 appearances against NL West opponents.
  • Aaron Nola has recorded six or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances with the Phillies as road underdogs against NL opponents.
  • J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 appearances in night games against NL West teams that held a winning record.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances against the Dodgers after playing the previous day.
  • Aaron Nola ranks T7th in the league for Wins (11) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.333).
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (437).
  • The Philadelphia Phillies are one of only 2 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
  • The Philadelphia Phillies rank 3rd in the league for ERA this season (3.60).

LA Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

The Philadelphia Phillies have been a mess in the second half of the season, and a road trip to play the Dodgers probably doesn’t give the warm and fuzzy. However, the Phillies are still the Phillies, one of the best teams in baseball and one of the top contenders odds wise for a world series. You’re not going to get the Phillies at plus money prices, and you’re certainly not getting Nola as an underdog often. In fact, this is just the third time this season, Nola is an underdog, and he’s won 4 of his last 6 Games as a dog overall. Give me the Phillies based on the more favorable price.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Philadelphia Phillies +125

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