MLB

LA Angels vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 7-11-24 Picks

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4m ago

Jul 12, 2024 / 1514 Views

Evan Walker

Seattle Mariners (51-43) vs. LA Angels (38-54)
July 11, 2024 9:38 pm EDT
The Line: LA Angels +138 / Seattle Mariners -150; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Seattle Mariners and LA Angels meet Thursday in MLB Game 1 action at Angel Stadium. Here’s a LA Angels vs Seattle Mariners Prediction. This article will include a LA Angels vs Seattle Mariners Pick.

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 51-43 on the year after playing the Blue Jays and Padres. The Seattle Mariners have scored 14 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 10 games. The Seattle Mariners have lost 4 of their last 6 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Julio Rodriguez leads the Seattle Mariners with 91 hits and 32 RBI, while Ty France and Josh Rojas have combined for 128 hits and 46 RBI.

LA Angels Betting Preview

The LA Angels are 38-54 on the year after playing the Cubs and Rangers. The LA Angels have scored 15 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 7 of their last 11 Games. The LA Angels have won 8 of their last 12 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Luis Rengifo leads the LA Angels with 79 hits and 25 RBI, while Logan O’Hoppe and Taylor Ward have combined for 155 hits and 86 RBI.

Seattle Mariners vs LA Angels Pitching Pick Matchup

Luis Castillo gets the ball for the Seattle Mariners, and he is 7-9 with a 3.72 ERA and 111 strikeouts this season. Castillo has allowed 8 hits and 4 runs in his last 11.2 innings. Castillo has a 4.59 ERA and .246 allowed batting average in 51 road innings. Castillo is 4-1 with a 3.30 ERA and 58 strikeouts in his career against the LA Angels.

Jack Kochanowicz will make his major league debut when he takes the mound tonight. Kochanowicz has a 18-17 record with a 5.44 ERA and 274 strikeouts in his minor league career. Kochanowicz was 5-6 with a 4.55 ERA and 79 strikeouts in AA this season. Kochanowicz is considered the seventh-best overall prospect in the Angels organization.

Why the Seattle Mariners will Beat the Angels

The Mariners have won each of their last seven games against the Angels following a win.
The Angels have lost eight of their last nine games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
The Angels have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against the Mariners following a win.
The road team has covered the run line in 10 of the Mariners’ last 12 games.
The Angels have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
The Mariners have won the first inning in each of their last three night games against the Angels.
The Mariners have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against the Angels.

Los Angeles Angels Player Prop Facts

Brandon Drury has recorded a Double in four of his five previous home appearances against the Mariners after playing the previous day.
Brandon Drury has recorded at least one RBI in three of his last four appearances against the Mariners.
Taylor Ward has scored at least one run in each of his last four home appearances against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
Anthony Rendon has recorded at least one Single in six of his last seven appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Brandon Drury has recorded at least one total base in each of his eight previous home appearances against the Mariners.
Brandon Drury has recorded at least one hit in each of his eight previous home appearances against the Mariners.
Mike Trout has hit a home run in three of his last four home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a losing record.
Mitch Garver has hit a home run in each of the Mariners’ last three road games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
Mitch Garver has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Mariners’ last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.
Mitch Haniger has recorded at least one Single in each of the Mariners’ last five night games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
Luis Castillo has recorded a win in seven of his last eight appearances against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
Luis Castillo has recorded seven or more strikeouts in six of his last eight appearances against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
Julio Rodriguez has scored at least one run in each of the Mariners’ last six games against the Angels.
Jorge Polanco has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his last eight appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a losing record.
J.P. Crawford has recorded a hit in each of the Mariners’ last nine road games against opponents that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

The Los Angeles Angels rank 28th in the league for ERA this season (4.61).
The Los Angeles Angels rank 28th in the league for walks allowed this season (343).
The Seattle Mariners rank 30th in the league for hits this season (666).
The Seattle Mariners rank 30th in the league for batting average this season (.217).

LA Angels vs Seattle Mariners Prediction

The Seattle Mariners are not only the better team and need to take advantage of Games like this as they chase down an AL West title. The Mariners also have the pitching edge with the proven and rather consistent Luis Castillo, while the Angels are throwing out Jack Kochanowicz, who is making his first career start. I don’t like backing guys making their MLB debut due to the unknown, and it’s not different with Kochanowicz. Give me the Mariners and the reasonable price.