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Houston Astros vs Miami Marlins Prediction 7-9-24 Picks

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Miami Marlins (32-58) vs. Houston Astros (46-44)
July 9, 2024 8:10 pm EDT
The Line: Houston Astros -208 / Miami Marlins +188; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Marlins and the Houston Astros meet Tuesday in MLB action from Minute Maid Park. Here’s a Houston Astros vs Miami Marlins prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-Game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the Game.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

In their weekend series the Marlins played the Chicago White Sox. Miami took a 3-2 loss in the Friday opener of that set but came back for victories in the weekend pair 4-3 and 7-4. In the finale victory the Marlins got a three-run homer from Jake Burger among their seven team hits.

For the starter gig in the Tuesday matchup the Marlins will send out Trevor Rogers. This year over his 17 starts Rogers is 1-9 with a 4.91 ERA. In his career Rogers is 14-32 with a 4.30 ERA in 76 starts.

Houston Astros Betting Preview

Over on the Astros’ side, they played the Minnesota Twins in their weekend set. Houston eked out a 13-12 win in the Friday Game but otherwise lost 9-3 and 3-2 in the next pair. In Sunday’s defeat the Astros got 5.0 innings and both earned runs from starter Spencer Arrighetti on seven hits and two walks.

Ronel Blanco will start for the Astros on Tuesday. This year Blanco is 8-3 with a 2.53 ERA and 88 Ks.

The Astros will face the Rangers following this series.

Astros vs Marlins Pick Injury Notes

The Marlins transferred SP Ryan Weathers (finger) to the 60-day IL Sunday.

Astros LF Yordan Alvarez (knee) was out of the lineup for Sunday’s Game.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Marlins’ last five road games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Astros’ last five home games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last four games against AL West opponents.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

  • Kyle Tucker has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit a home run in three of the Astros’ last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Alex Bregman has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four home appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Jose Altuve has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Kyle Tucker has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Kyle Tucker has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in 21 of his last 23 appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has recorded a Single in six of his last seven appearances against AL West opponents.
  • Josh Bell has scored at least one run in four of his last five appearances against the Astros.
  • Jesus Sanchez has recorded three or more total bases in each of the Marlins’ last three games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Josh Bell has hit a home run in two of his last three road appearances against the Astros.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Marlins’ last five games against the Astros.

Houston Astros vs Miami Marlins Prediction

I might take a value-play stab on the Marlins here. Probably not touching it, though. Rogers’ season numbers are pretty rough but he hasn’t been horrible lately. Sure, Rogers did put up a pair of earned runs in 3.0 innings during a loss to the Red Sox in his last start. That said, he had five earned in 12.1 innings prior to that.

Miami has been scoring pretty well lately also. In three of their last four Games they’ve totaled four or more runs. The big factor here is going to be the Marlins bullpen. If the RPs can hold things together Miami should have a decent shot.

Andrew's Free Pick: Miami Marlins +188

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