Houston Astros vs Miami Marlins Prediction 7-11-24 Picks

The Miami Marlins and the Houston Astros meet Thursday in MLB action from Minute Maid Park. Here’s a Houston Astros vs Miami Marlins prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-Game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the Game.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

Over the weekend the Marlins played the Chicago White Sox. Miami lost 3-2 in the Friday Game but then came back for wins 4-3 and 7-4 in the next pair. After a 4-3 loss to Houston in the opener, on Wednesday the Marlins were blown out 9-1 for another defeat. Bryan Hoeing put up 3.0 innings with four earned runs in the start.

In the starter role for Miami on Thursday it’ll be Roddery Munoz. This year in his rookie season Munoz is 1-3 with a 5.48 ERA in nine Games (eight starts). He has 40 Ks in 44.1 innings. The Marlins will play against the Reds following this series.

Houston Astros Betting Preview

Over on the Astros’ side, their last series was versus the Minnesota Twins. Houston won 13-12 in the opener of that set then fell 9-3 and 3-2 in the weekend Games. On Wednesday in Game two the Astros scored four times in the second inning on the way to the win. Starter Framber Valdez finished with 7.0 innings, one earned and 10 strikeouts.

Jake Bloss will start the Thursday game for the Astros. He’s being activated off the Injured List (due to a shoulder issue) for this one. It will be Bloss’ second start of the year.

The Astros will meet the Rangers and Mariners after this series.

Astros vs Marlins Pick Injury Notes

Astros catcher Victor Caratini (hip) did drills Tuesday but still is not running at full speed.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Astros’ last five night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Marlins’ last seven road games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last seven games as underdogs.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Astros’ last four games as favorites against NL East opponents.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 appearances with the Astros as home favorites against NL East opponents.
• Jose Altuve has recorded a Double in three of the Astros’ last four home games against the Marlins.
• Jose Altuve has recorded at least one Single in each of the Astros’ last 10 Thursday games.
• Alex Bregman has scored at least one run in each of the Astros’ last nine games as favorites.
• Kyle Tucker has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Astros as favorites against the Marlins.
• Alex Bregman has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Astros’ last five night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
• Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances with the Astros as home favorites against NL East opponents.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Jesus Sanchez has recorded three or more total bases in each of his last four appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances against AL West opponents.
• Jazz Chisholm has scored a run in seven of his last eight Thursday night appearances with the Marlins as underdogs.
• Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in eight of his last nine appearances against AL West opponents.
• Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Houston Astros vs Miami Marlins Prediction

I would try the Marlins on a value play here but it’s probably one just to stay away from. Munoz hasn’t been all that great lately. In his last three starts he’s 0-1 with a combined eight earned runs in 14.2 innings of work on 15 hits and 10 walks. Munoz could easily get into trouble early, but if he emerges relatively unscathed Miami might have a shot.

On Wednesday the Marlins were out-hit 13-6 and couldn’t get much accomplished at the plate outside of Xavier Edwards’ two hits and one RBI. The bullpen wasn’t bad though—with the exception of Declan Cronin’s four earned—so there were a few bright spots in Game two. Miami needs quite a bit of help if they’re going to stave off the sweep.