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Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 11-12-24 NBA Picks

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Dallas Mavericks (5-5) vs. Golden State Warriors (8-2)
November 12, 2024 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Golden State Warriors -2.5; Over/Under: +230.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Dallas Mavericks travel to the Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Tuesday night. Here’s a Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Pick.

Dallas Mavericks

The Dallas Mavericks have cooled off a bit recently as they’ve lost three of their past four games and they will be hoping to snap a two-game skid after falling painfully short to the red-hot Nuggets in a 122-120 road defeat on Sunday. Kyrie Irving led the team with a season-high 43 points on 17 of 22 shooting, Luka Doncic added 24 points with nine rebounds and nine assists while Daniel Gafford chipped in with 16 points, two steals, and two blocks.
As a team, the Mavericks shot 53 percent from the field and 10 of 33 from the 3-point line as they worked hard to reclaim the lead multiple times late in the fourth quarter before they went scoreless in the final 1:38 of the game to allow the Nuggets to slip through their hands. The Mavs will meet the Jazz after this game.

Golden State Warriors

Meanwhile, the Golden State Warriors have been in great form as they’ve won eight of their first 10 games overall and they will be looking to keep it going after routing the Thunder in a 127-116 road win on Sunday. Stephen Curry led the team with 36 points and seven assists on 13 of 23 shooting, Jonathan Kuminga added 20 points on eight of 11 shooting off the bench while De’Anthony Melton tallied 19 points with 10 rebounds and three steals.
As a team, the Warriors shot 50 percent from the field and a sizzling 21 of 43 from the 3-point line as they took control of the contest with a 39-point burst in the second quarter before they exploded for 42 points in the third quarter to lead by as many as 30 points at one stage. The Warriors will face the Grizzlies, Clippers, and Hawks following this one.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

  • The Warriors have won eight of their last nine games against Western Conference opponents after winning as underdogs.
  • The Mavericks have lost each of their last four road games against Warriors teams that held a winning record.
  • The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four road games against Warriors teams that held a winning record.
  • The Warriors have covered the spread in each of their last four games against Western Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of the Mavericks’ last eight road games against Pacific Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the Warriors’ last five games has gone OVER the total points line.

Golden State Warriors Player Facts

  • Stephen Curry ranks 1st in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for FT% (96.4%) this season.
  • Draymond Green ranks 3rd amongst qualified Centers for assists per game (5.1) this season.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

  • Luka Doncic is one of only three players in the league to have scored 25+ points in five straight games this season.
  • Kyrie Irving ranks 2nd in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for 3P% (55.2%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Warriors rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point percentage this season (31.9%).
  • The Warriors rank 1st in the league for Q3 points per game this season (35.0).
  • The Mavericks rank 1st in the league for opponent steals per game this season (5.8).
  • The Mavericks rank 1st in the league for turnovers per game this season (11.7).

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

The Mavericks are still shorthanded with PJ Washington ruled out and Dereck Lively listed as questionable, while the Warriors are keeping an eye on Andrew Wiggins who is questionable with a lower back strain. The Mavericks could really do with a win to get back on track and they were more than competitive in a tough loss to the Nuggets in their last outing, while the Warriors are coming into this one fresh off a statement win over the surging Thunder on Sunday. I wouldn’t be surprised at all if the Mavericks were to get the road win, but the Warriors are the team in better shape and I think they are great value at the short line at home.

Peter Tran's Free Pick: Golden State -2.5

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