MLB

Dodgers vs Padres Prediction - MLB Picks 8/4/23

Published

1y ago

Aug 04, 2023 / 5295 Views

Evan Walker

San Diego Padres (54-55) vs Los Angeles Dodgers (62-45)

Game Info: Friday, August 4, 2023 at 9:40 pm (Petco Park)

Yu Darvish (8-7) (4.53) vs Bobby Miller (6-2) (4.37)

Betting Odds: San Diego Padres -135 / Los Angeles Dodgers +110 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Los Angeles Dodgers and the San Diego Padres will open a divisional series this Friday from Petco Park.

Dodgers Preview & Projected Starter

Los Angeles moved to 62-45 after sweeping Oakland. The Dodgers capitalized and clobbered Oakland this week, but they have to rev things up on this trip to San Diego. The Los Angeles offense is scoring 5.04 runs per Game, while batting .248, with a .330 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 4.50 ERA, with a 1.28 WHIP.

Bobby Miller (6-2, 4.37 ERA, 53 Ks) will make the start for Los Angeles. The rookie righty dropped his first start since June last week against Cincinnati, allowing three runs through five innings pitched. The outing was more normal for Miller, he just didn’t receive run support in time, and he’ll look to bounce back here. This will mark Miller’s first time facing the Dodgers, and his second taste of NL West action overall.

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Dodgers Player Trends & Props

• Freddie Freeman lit Oakland up this week with ten hits in three Games, including five doubles, and he leads the Dodgers in BA (.329) hits (145), and RBI (76), with 22 homers.

• Mookie Betts brings an eleven-game hit streak into this divisional series, and he leads the team in home runs (29), with 70 RBI.

• J.D. Martinez missed the Oakland series, and his status should be monitored this weekend in San Diego. Martinez is posting nice splits of .260/25/75.

Padres Preview & Projected Starter

San Diego moved to 54-55 after taking two of three from Colorado. The Padres opened the month with a pair of wins, and they’ll look to carry that momentum into this four-game set. San Diego offense is scoring 4.31 runs per game, while batting .228, with a .317 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 3.76 ERA, with a 1.23 WHIP.

Yu Darvish (7-6, 4.36 ERA, 85 Ks) will get the start for San Diego. The veteran pitcher faced his former team last week and delivered, striking out nine, while holding Texas scoreless to earn his seventh win. Darvish is so unpredictable, yet so effective when he’s on. His first four outings post-All Star break are coNFLicting, as he tossed gems in Philly and Toronto, but then proceeded to fall apart against the Pirates at home, before providing the Rangers with a fresh memory last week. How Darvish handles another one of his former teams here remains to be seen.

Padres Player Trends & Props

• Juan Soto had his way at Coors, and after recording multiple hits in five of the last six games, he leads the Pads in home runs (23) and RBI (70), with 104 hits.

• Manny Machado has collected a hit in eight of the previous nine Games, and he’s posting strong splits of .258/20/62.

• Fernando Tatis provided a three-run shot in the game three win, and he’s batting .270, with 19 home runs and 58 runs batted in.

• Xander Bogaerts racked up three hits in the series finale to bring his team-lead in hits to 105.

• Ha-Seong Kim brings a nine-Game hit streak into this series, and he leads the Pads in (.287), with 15 homers and 41 RBI.

Corey’s Free Pick

Yu Darvish makes things so complicated here. The 5x All-Star just bottled one of his former ballclubs up, and he’ll face another here at home once again. Meanwhile, Los Angeles got a great tune up from Oakland, and it feels like that momentum may carry over. Bobby Miller has allowed three runs or more in six of his last seven starts, so we’ve got the ingredients for a safer route of targeting the total here. Take the Over for this NL West battle.