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Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 7-28-24 Picks

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Minnesota Twins (57-45) vs. Detroit Tigers (51-54)
July 28, 2024 1:40 pm EDT
The Line: Detroit Tigers +149 / Minnesota Twins -179; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Minnesota Twins and the Detroit Tigers meet Sunday in MLB action from Comerica Park. Here’s a Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-Game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the Game.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

In their last series the Twins played the Philadelphia Phillies. Minnesota managed wins 7-2 in the opener and 5-4 on Wednesday for a series victory. Following a 9-3 win over Detroit on Friday, in Saturday’s matchup the Twins took a 7-2 loss to even things up.

As starter for Sunday the Twins will send out Bailey Ober. This year Ober is 9-5 with a 4.04 ERA in 19 starts. In 76 career starts Ober is 22-17 with a 3.74 ERA.

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

Over on the Tigers’ side, they played the Cleveland Guardians this week. Detroit managed to win two of those four Games for a split series. On Saturday the Tigers got 7.0 innings and two earned runs from stater Tarik Skubal.

In the starter slot Sunday the Tigers are going with Alex Faedo. This year Faedo is 5-1 with a 3.47 ERA in 31 Games (one start). Faedo is 8-11 with a 4.51 ERA in 58 career Games (25 starts). The Tigers will meet the Guardians and Royals after this series.

Tigers vs Twins Pick Injury Notes

Tigers CF Parker Meadows (hamstring) will begin a rehab assignment soon.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Tigers’ last five home games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Six of the Twins’ last seven games have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last eight home games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last seven day games.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

  • Matt Vierling has recorded a Double in three of the Tigers’ last four home games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Carson Kelly has scored at least one run in each of his last five home appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • Javier Baez has hit a home run in each of the Tigers’ last three home games against the Twins.
  • Matt Vierling has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 home appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Matt Vierling has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 home appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Javier Baez has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Tigers’ last four games against the Twins at Comerica Park.
  • Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight home appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Trevor Larnach has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances with the Twins against AL opponents.
  • Jose Miranda has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Jose Miranda has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Ryan Jeffers has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances in day games against AL Central teams that held a losing record.
  • Jose Miranda has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Bailey Ober has recorded eight or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents.
  • Bailey Ober has recorded a win in seven of his last eight appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Byron Buxton has recorded at least one Double in eight of his last nine appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Byron Buxton has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances against AL opponents.

Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

I’ll stay with the Twins. Ober is doing fairly well lately. In his last three starts combined Ober is 2-1 with six earned runs over 19.0 innings on 15 hits and two walks. Another quality start would set the Twins up very well in this finale.

On Saturday Minnesota had a very early 2-0 lead but couldn’t score after the first inning. Royce Lewis had a two-run homer to account for both the RBI but not much else happened offensively. The Twins bats need to get moving Sunday in the finale.

Andrew's Free Pick: Minnesota Twins -179

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