The Detroit Tigers (55-60) take on the Seattle Mariners (59-56) Thursday in the finale of a 3-Game set at T-Mobile Park at 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tigers lead 2-0
The Tigers have throttled the Mariners 4-2 and 6-2 in the 1st couple of games of the series. Ace Tarik Skubal tossed 7 strong innings, allowing 2 ER and striking out 9. The Tigers have won 3 of 4 and are 29-29 on the road this season. Things get interesting Thursday as the Tigers are expected to use an opener.
The M’s have lost 3 in a row and are now a half-game out of 1st in the AL West. They have scored a grand total of 4 runs in those 3 games. OF Randy Arozarena has done his part since being traded over, hitting .297 with 5 extra-base hits in 10 games. The M’s are 33-26 at home this season.
Tigers at Mariners projected starters
LHP Tyler Holton vs. RHP Bryan Woo
Holton (4-1, 2.69 ERA) makes his 6th start and 44th appearance. He has a 0.83 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 63 2/3 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 3 IP, 0 ER, 0 H, 0 BB and 3 K Saturday against the Kansas City Royals
- Hasn’t allowed an ER in 22 straight IP
- 4 career appearances vs. Mariners: 0-0, 1.80 ERA, 0.40 WHIP, 7 K in 5 IP
Woo (5-1, 2.08 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 0.87 WHIP, 0.9 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 60 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 6 K Friday against Philadelphia Phillies
- Has never faced Tigers
- Home/road splits: 3-0, 0.95 ERA, 0.64 WHIP, 6.7 K/9 in 5 home GS; 2-1, 3.06 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 6.1 K/9 in 7 road GS
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Tigers at Mariners odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:25 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Tigers +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Mariners -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers +1.5 (-125) | Mariners -1.5 (+105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Tigers at Mariners picks and predictions
Prediction
Mariners 4, Tigers 1
Moneyline
I love the Mariners’ side here. Woo has a miniscule ERA at home, and while Detroit’s projected opener has been stellar, their bullpen as a whole leaves a bit to be desired with a 4.20 ERA (20th),
That said, you can’t drop -225 on the Mariners’ ML. Instead, SGP MARINERS ML + UNDER 8.5 (+115) for a much more manageable wager. The total is set at 7, and spoiler alert, the wind is blowing in.
Run line/Against the spread
I’d take a chance on BRYAN WOO UNDER 1.5 EARNED RUNS (+110). He has yielded 2+ ER just twice at home this season, and the Tigers are 28th with a .296 OBP.
Over/Under
As we mentioned in the ML section, the wind is slated to come in from left-center on an 84-degree evening. The Tigers are 5-5 O/U in their last 10, and the M’s are 7-3. We’ve had 6 and 8 runs in the first 2 games of this series. LEAN UNDER 7 (+100).
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