The Los Angeles Angels (33-46) welcome the Detroit Tigers (37-43) to Angel Stadium in Los Angeles Thursday for the 1st game of a 4-game series. First pitch is set for 9:38 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Tigers vs. Angels odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; teams split 6 Games in 2023 with road team sweeping both series
The Angels beat the Oakland A’s 5-2 Wednesday, sweeping the series and covering in each. Los Angeles has won 4 of its last 5 Games and has won 8 of its last 12. The Angels are 8-4 against the spread (ATS) in their last 12 Games and 45-34 ATS on the season.
The Tigers lost to the Philadelphia Phillies at home 6-2 Wednesday, failing to cover as a run-line underdog and closing at +140 on the moneyline. They lost 2 of 3 to Philadelphia. Detroit has traded off winning and losing over its last 7 games. The Tigers are 36-44 ATS.
Tigers at Angels projected starters
RHP Jack Flaherty vs. RHP Davis Daniel
Flaherty (5-4, 2.92 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 11.7 K/9 in 83 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 2-1 home win over the Chicago White Sox Friday
- 2024 road splits: 4-1, 2.17 ERA (45 2/3 IP, 11 ER), 0.83 WHIP, 4 HR, 11.2 K/9 in 8 starts
- Career vs. Angels: 0-1, 38.57 ERA (2 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 4. WHIP, 11.6 K/9 in 1 start
Daniel makes his 1st start of 2024 and his 4th MLB appearance. The 27-year-old rookie has a 1.306 WHIP, 6.6 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 in 12 1/3 IP in 2023.
- Has never faced the Tigers
- 2024 AAA splits: 5-4, 5.45 ERA (76 IP, 45 ER), 1.50 WHIP, 5 HR, 9.7 K/9 in 14 starts
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Tigers at Angels odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:43 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Tigers -166 (bet $166 to win $100) | Angels +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Tigers -1.5 (+100) | Angels +1.5 (-120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)
Tigers at Angels picks and predictions
Prediction
Tigers 4, Angels 3
Moneyline
PASS.
The Angels (+140) have won 3 straight and are the 3rd-worst team in the majors after a win at 11-21. The value here is taking them on the run line to play their strong performance continuing Thursday.
On the flip side, the Tigers (-166) are too expensive to take on the road here.
Run line/Against the spread
BET ANGELS +1.5 (-120).
Daniel has struggled some in AAA action, but last season, when his name was called, he delivered, having 0 ER in 2 of 3 appearances and having at least 3 IP in all 3. The Angels won 2 of the 3 games he pitched in.
After a win, the Angels are 17-15 ATS, and as a home underdog they are 17-14 ATS. The Tigers have lost 4 straight on the road and are 3-4 on their last 7 road games. Considering those trends, take ANGELS +1.5 (-120).
Over/Under
BET UNDER 8.5 (-120).
The Angels have gone Under in 4 of their last 6 games and have allowed 2 or fewer in 4 of those. Los Angeles is 1-4-1 O/U in its last 6 home games.
The Tigers are 2-8 O/U over their last 10 games and are 1-3 O/U in Flaherty’s last 4 starts. Their offense has stalled often, scoring 2 of fewer in 8 of their last 10.
Expect a low-scoring battle given those trends and take UNDER 8.5 (-120).
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