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Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 11-6-24 NBA Picks

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Oklahoma City Thunder (7-0) vs. Denver Nuggets (4-3)
November 6, 2024 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: Denver Nuggets +6.5; Over/Under: +223
(Get latest betting odds)

The Oklahoma City Thunder pay a visit to the Denver Nuggets at the Ball Arena on Wednesday night. Here’s a Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction. This article will include a Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Pick.

Oklahoma City Thunder

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the hottest team in the Western Conference as they are now gunning for an eighth straight victory after making light work of the struggling Magic in a 102-86 home win on Monday. Jalen Williams led the team with 23 points on 10 of 17 shooting, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander added 21 points with six rebounds and nine assists while Chet Holmgren chipped in with 14 points, nine rebounds and two blocks. As a team, the Thunder shot 45 percent from the field and 12 of 31 from the 3-point line as they stormed out of the gates with 39 points in the first quarter to take an early double-digit lead, before they dominated the third quarter by 26-15 to lead by as many as 26 points at one stage.

Denver Nuggets

Meanwhile, the Denver Nuggets have been in fine form as they’ve won four of their last five games overall and they will be aiming for a third straight victory after sneaking past the Raptors in a 121-119 home win on Monday. Nikola Jokic led the team with a triple-double of 28 points with 14 rebounds and 13 assists, Russell Westbrook tallied 21 points with six assists in a rare start, Michael Porter Jr contributed 19 points while Christian Braun chipped in with 17 points. As a team, the Nuggets shot 49 percent from the field and 10 of 31 from the 3-point line as they struggled for the majority of this game, trailing by 11 points in the fourth quarter, before they closed the final 5:32 on a 23-10 run to escape with the impressive comeback victory.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

  • The Thunder have won each of their last 11 games as road favorites.
  • The Nuggets have lost five of their last six games against Western Conference opponents.
  • The road team has covered the spread in each of the last 11 games between the Thunder and Nuggets.
  • The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six home games following a home win.

Total Points Facts

  • Twelve of the Nuggets’ last 13 games against the Thunder following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the Thunder’s last four night games at Ball Arena have gone UNDER the total points line.

Denver Nuggets Player Facts

  • Nikola Jokic is the only qualified player in the league averaging at least 25.0 points, 10.0 assists and 5.0 rebounds this season.
  • Russell Westbrook ranks T8th amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.9) this season.

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts

  • Jalen Williams ranks T1st in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for steals per game (2.1) this season.
  • Chet Holmgren ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Blocks Per Game (3.1) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Nuggets rank 30th in the league for opponent assists per game this season (30.9).
  • The Nuggets rank 30th in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (7.3).
  • The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent points per game this season (95.9).
  • The Thunder rank 1st in the league for point differential per game this season (+17.4).

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

The Thunder are still missing Isaiah Hartenstein and Kenrich Williams, while the Nuggets will again be without Aaron Gordon and Jamal Murray. The Nuggets have been a little disappointing so far this season, but they’ve managed to keep their heads above water thanks to Jokic. However, the Thunder are on fire at the moment and I think they can keep building on their perfect record with another win here.

Peter Tran's Free Pick: Oklahoma City -6.5

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