The Denver Nuggets (45-20) and Miami Heat (35-29) meet Wednesday in a rematch of last season’s NBA Finals. Tip-off from Kaseya Center is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nuggets vs. Heat odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Nuggets lead 1-0
The Nuggets are coming off a 125-119 win against the Toronto Raptors Monday with the Over (233) cashing in Denver. C Nikola Jokic had a triple-double with 35 points, 17 rebounds and 12 assists, but it wasn’t enough for the Nuggets to cover as 17.5-point favorites.
The Heat failed to cover as 11.5-point home favorites in a 110-108 loss vs. the Washington Wizards Sunday as the Under (229) hit. F Jimmy Butler had a team-high 23 points, and Miami lost its 3rd straight.
In a Feb. 29 meeting, the Heat covered as 6.5-point underdogs in a 103-97 Nuggets win with the Under (215) cashing at Ball Arena. Denver also beat Miami 4-1 in last season’s NBA Finals.
Nuggets at Heat odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:43 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Nuggets -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Heat +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
- Against the spread (ATS): Nuggets -3.5 (-110) | Heat +3.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 215.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Nuggets at Heat key injuries
Nuggets
- None
Heat
- F Jimmy Butler (head) probable
- G Tyler Herro (foot) out
- C Kevin Love (heel) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Nuggets at Heat picks and predictions
Prediction
Nuggets 110, Heat 100
Moneyline
The Nuggets (-165) have dominated the Heat in past years and have won 16 of the last 19 meetings. However, the spread is low enough to lay the points with Denver.
PASS. Bet the spread and/or total instead.
Against the spread
The Nuggets are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Games and were in a predictably flat spot against the Raptors last time out — looking ahead to Wednesday’s Game at Miami. However, once the Nuggets realized that they had to somewhat try against the shorthanded Raptors, they outscored Toronto 74-51 in the 2nd half.
The Heat have not struggled with focus; their offense is the issue. Miami has scored 108 or fewer points in 3 straight games and put up just 97 in the Feb. 29 meeting in Denver.
BET NUGGETS -3.5 (-110).
Over/Under
The Under has hit in 3 straight Heat games and 4 consecutive meetings between these teams. The Nuggets are 14-9 to the Under as road favorites on the season and should contain this Heat offense which is averaging 105.3 points over the last 3 games, good for 24th in the NBA.
BET UNDER 215.5 (-110).
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