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Day Ten Wimbledon Tennis Picks, Odds & Best Bet Today, 7/10 | Pickswise

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Following Wednesday’s comPetition at the All-England Club only 4 players will remain on both the men’s and women’s sides. Yes, the last of the semifinal spots will be handed out. Among those bidding to advance are Novak Djokovic, Taylor Fritz and Elena Rybakina. 
 
Let’s take a look at the best bets to be made on the Day 10 schedule.

Taylor Fritz vs Lorenzo Musetti Under 39.5 games (-110)

This is not Fritz’s first rodeo in the Wimbledon quarterfinals. In 2022 he had a golden opportunity to reach the semis and let it slip away. Although he was facing Rafael Nadal, it was an injured version of Nadal (who eventually withdrew prior to his next match) and the American definitely should have won. Fritz ended up losing in 5. I can’t see him making the same mistake against in a similar situation playing a match he has every reason to win. Fritz is playing even better than he was 2 seasons ago, with a 35-12 record this year that features a 10-1 mark on grass. He won the Eastbourne event  for the third time just a couple of weeks ago and his Wimbledon run includes by a 5-set upset of Alexander Zverev (who led 2 sets to 0). It’s also worth noting that Fritz’s trek through the All-England Club in ’22 began against none other than Musetti. Fritz cruised 6-4, 6-4, 6-3. Musetti is also playing great this summer, but on grass the Italian probably won’t be overly comPetitive.

 

Novak Djokovic -4.5 games over Alex de Minaur (-115)

Djokovic suffered a torn medial meniscus at Roland Garros, so he was a question mark coming into Wimbledon. Well, 4 matches is a large enough sample size to silence any of those questions. The world #2 was far from dominant in rounds 1 and 2, but a 6-3, 6-4, 6-2 beatdown of Holger Rune on Monday proved that the knee is no issue and the normal Djokovic is the one currently roaming the prestigious grounds of the All-England Club. Additionally, this is a bad matchup for De Minaur. The ninth-ranked Aussie doesn’t have the offensive firepower to take the racket out of Djokovic’s hands and shorten points. He has upset Djokovic once before, but their only previous major matchup was 6-2, 6-1, 6-2 in the Serb’s favor (2023 Australian Open). Finally, De Minaur appeared to sustain a hip injury at the very end of Monday’s victory over Arthur Fils.

Jelena Ostapenko vs Barbora Krejcikova Under 22.5 games (-122)

Unders are usually the way to go when Ostapenko is involved. Wednesday at the All-England Club is no exception. When she’s hot, she can be unplayable. When she’s cold, she can go completely off the rails. There is usually no in between. The good Ostapenko has been the one on this fortnight — to put it mildly. She has won all 4 of her matches in convincing fashion with set scores of 6-1, 6-2, 6-3, 6-0, 6-1, 6-3, 6-2 and 6-3. It should be no surprise to hear that 6 of the 7 previous encounters between Ostapenko and Krejcikova (5 won by the Latvian) have been straight-setters and 5 have stayed under 22.5 Games. In fact, 5 have featured 19 Games or fewer. If the same Ostapenko shows up in the quarterfinals, there is probably nothing the Czech can do. At the same time, Krejcikova is a solid player who can make an opponent beat herself (as she did to Danielle Collins in a straight-set destruction on Monday). So if the opposite-extreme Ostapenko shows up, it could be 1-way traffic the other way. Regardless, the under is the play.

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