The Dallas Mavericks (6-7) take on the Oklahoma City Thunder (11-2) Sunday evening at Paycom Center. Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Mavericks vs. Thunder odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; OKC won 3-1 in ’23-24 regular season and Dallas won 4-2 in West semifinals
The Mavs took down the San Antonio Spurs 110-93 Saturday evening, covering as 14.5-point favorites. C Victor Wembanyama was a late scratch for San Antonio in that one. G Luka Doncic had just 16 points on 6-for-16 shooting. G Kyrie Irving and C Daniel Gafford carried the load with 22 apiece.
The Thunder eclipsed the Phoenix Suns 99-83 Friday night as we cashed all 3 bets in that one. G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was in his usual dominant form, dropping 28 points to lead the charge. OKC has won 3 straight since C Chet Holmgren (hip) went down.
Mavericks at Thunder odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 11:45 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mavericks +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Thunder -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Mavericks +5.5 (-115) | Thunder -5.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 231.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Mavericks at Thunder key injuries
Mavericks
(Not yet submitted — below was for Saturday’s game)
- None
Thunder
- G Alex Caruso (hip) out
- C Isaiah Hartenstein (hand) out
- C Chet Holmgren (hip) out
- F Jaylin Williams (hamstring) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Mavericks at Thunder picks and predictions
Prediction
Mavericks 120, Thunder 118
Moneyline
I like Dallas here. It is certainly not worthy of being a +170 underdog here. Yeah, it’s playing on consecutive nights, but Doncic didn’t stress too much in 28 minutes Saturday night. Not only that, playing against SGA makes him reach for another level. He averaged 34 points, 13.5 assists and 11.5 boards in 2 games last regular season against OKC.
The Mavs are a little deeper than the Thunder are right now, and they’re worth the risk.
Take the MAVERICKS +170.
Against the spread
There’s no point in taking the spread here since we’re taking a shot at the value on the ML.
Instead, take a look at LUKA DONCIC OVER 27.5 POINTS (-120). He had 36 and 32 in the 2 regular-season meetings he played in against OKC last year. If you want to get really fancy, consider Luka Doncic Triple-Double (+525). Considering he averaged one against the Thunder, that’s a good spot for a free bet or a fruitful leap of faith.
Over/Under
Both teams have cashed Unders in 2 straight Games. Pay no attention to that. These teams will feed off one another and buckets will drop. The Over was 3-1 between these teams last regular season.
Take the OVER 231.5 (-110).
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