Cleveland Guardians vs San Diego Padres Prediction 7-21-24 Picks

The San Diego Padres and the Cleveland Guardians meet Sunday in MLB action from Progressive Field. Here’s a Cleveland Guardians vs San Diego Padres prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-Game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the Game.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

In their last series before the break the Padres took on the Atlanta Braves. San Diego won 4-0 in the Saturday Game but dropped the other pair 6-1 and 6-3. After a 7-0 blowout loss to the Guardians on Friday, in Game two the Padres cruised to a blowout win 7-0.

In the starter slot for the Padres on Sunday it’ll be Michael King. This year King is 7-6 with a 3.41 ERA in 20 Games (19 starts). King is 20-23 with a 3.39 ERA in 135 Games (38 starts) over his career.

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

Over on the Guardians’ side, they played the Tampa Bay Rays in their last set. Cleveland similarly took a 4-2 win on Saturday but otherwise lost 2-0 in the other pair to drop the series. On Saturday the Guardians had just one hit and allowed 11 on the other side.

It’ll be Ben Lively in the starter slot for the Guardians on Sunday. This year Lively is 8-5 with a 3.58 ERA in 16 starts. Over 61 career Games (48 starts) Lively is 16-22 with a 4.61 ERA total.

Guardians vs Padres Pick Injury Notes

Guardians SP Matthew Boyd (elbow) began a rehab assignment Tuesday.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Guardians’ last five day games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Padres’ last seven day games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last five games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last four road games.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

• Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in two of the Guardians’ last three day games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Guardians’ last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Jose Ramirez has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Guardians’ last five games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Jose Ramirez has scored at least one run in each of the Guardians’ last six home games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Steven Kwan has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances with the Guardians as favorites against NL opponents.
• Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last eight games against NL opponents that held a winning record.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• Xander Bogaerts has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last six appearances against the Guardians after playing the previous day.
• Luis Arraez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 11 appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
• Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one hit in 22 of his last 23 appearances against the Guardians after playing the previous day.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit a home run in two of the Padres’ last three day games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has scored a run in each of his last four appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded an RBI in each of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Cleveland Guardians vs San Diego Padres Prediction

I’ll stay with the Padres. King is pitching well these days. In his last three starts combined, King is 2-1 with just three earned runs over 17.1 innings of work. As for Lively, he’s coming off a loss to the Rays with two earned in 5.1 innings.

On Saturday the Padres got a great start from Dylan Cease with just the one hit, one walk and 10 strikeouts. San Diego also had a great night at the plate. We probably won’t see an exact repeat Sunday, but I like the Padres to close strong on both sides.