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Cleveland Guardians vs San Diego Padres Prediction 7-19-24 Picks

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San Diego Padres (50-49) vs. Cleveland Guardians (58-37)
July 19, 2024 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Cleveland Guardians -109 / San Diego Padres -109; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The San Diego Padres and the Cleveland Guardians meet Friday in MLB action from Progressive Field. Here’s a Cleveland Guardians vs San Diego Padres prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-Game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the Game.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

This past weekend, the Padres took on the Atlanta Braves. San Diego was able to notch a shutout win in the Saturday installment of that set 4-0. The other two Games were both losses however, as the Padres fell 6-1 Friday and 6-3 in the finale.

For the starting pitcher duties Friday the Padres will send out Matt Waldron. This year Waldron is 5-8 with a 3.71 ERA in 19 starts. Over his career Waldron is 6-11 with a 3.89 ERA in 27 Games (25 starts).

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

Over on the Guardians’ side, they played the Tampa Bay Rays in their weekend series. Cleveland’s set went similarly to the Padres. The Guardians took a 4-2 win in game two but otherwise lost 2-0 in both the Friday and Sunday matchups.

As starter for Friday the Guardians are going with Tanner Bibee. So far Bibee is 7-4 with a 3.77 ERA in 19 starts. Over 44 career starts Bibee is 17-8 with a 3.32 ERA.

Guardians vs Padres Pick Injury Notes

The Guardians sent SP Matthew Boyd (elbow) to begin a rehab assignment in Arizona on Tuesday.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Guardians’ last five night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Three of the Padres’ last four games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last 13 night games against NL West opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last three games at Progressive Field.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

  • Steven Kwan has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against NL opponents.
  • Steven Kwan has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 appearances against NL opponents.
  • Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in three of the Guardians’ last five night games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Josh Naylor has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Guardians’ last five games against NL West opponents.
  • Jose Ramirez has scored at least one run in seven of the Guardians’ last eight home games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Steven Kwan has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 11 appearances against NL opponents.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

  • Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • Manny Machado has hit a home run in each of the Padres’ last two games against the Guardians.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded an RBI in each of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jake Cronenworth has scored at least one run in 10 of the Padres’ last 11 night games.
  • Jake Cronenworth has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • Luis Arraez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight road appearances against AL Central opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Cleveland Guardians are one of only 3 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
  • The Cleveland Guardians rank 4th in the league for strikeouts against this season (695).
  • The San Diego Padres rank 1st in the league for hits this season (876).
  • The San Diego Padres rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (662).

Cleveland Guardians vs San Diego Padres Prediction

I’ll lean toward the Guardians I suppose. Probably not touching this one, though. Both starters could use a good bounce-back effort. Bibee has gone 0-2 in his last pair of starts with eight earned in 11.2 innings. He had a win over KC with two earned in 6.0 frames before that, though. As for Waldron, he’s given up 10 earned runs over his last 17.1 innings total.

Cleveland has scored one run or fewer in three of their last four Games, so the bats need to wake up for this one. I’m staying away, but it seems like a coin-flip proposition if all goes well.

Andrew's Free Pick: Cleveland Guardians -109

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