MLB

Cleveland Guardians vs NY Yankees Prediction 10-18-24 MLB Picks

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1m ago

Oct 18, 2024 / 7155 Views

Evan Walker

NY Yankees (99-70) vs. Cleveland Guardians (96-73)
October 18, 2024 8:08 pm EDT
The Line: Cleveland Guardians +105 / NY Yankees -123; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The NY Yankees and Cleveland Guardians meet Friday in MLB Game 4 of the ALCS at Progressive Field. Here’s a Cleveland Guardians vs NY Yankees Prediction. This article will include a Cleveland Guardians vs NY Yankees Pick.

NY Yankees Betting Preview

The NY Yankees look to regain control of the series and take a 3-1 lead. The Yankees have yet to lose back to back Games in the playoffs. The NY Yankees have scored 16 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 9 Games. The NY Yankees have won 13 of their last 16 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Giancarlo Stanton leads the NY Yankees with 8 hits and 6 RBI while Juan Soto and Gleyber Torres have combined for 14 hits and 7 RBI.

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians have a chance to even up the series at 2-2. After a Game 3 win, the Guardians have won 4 straight Games that have gone into extra innings. The Cleveland Guardians have scored 12 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 4 of their last 8 Games. The Cleveland Guardians have won 6 straight Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Steven Kwan leads the Cleveland Guardians with 13 hits and 1 RBI while Brayan Rocchio and Lane Thomas have combined for 19 hits and 11 RBI.

NY Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Pitching Pick Matchup

Luis Gil gets the ball for the NY Yankees, and he is 15-7 with a 3.50 ERA and 171 strikeouts this season. Gil will make his career postseason debut when he takes the mound. Gil is 0-1 with a 6.14 ERA and 9 strikeouts in his career against the Cleveland Guardians.

Gavin Williams gets the ball for the Cleveland Guardians, and he is 3-10 with a 4.86 ERA and 79 strikeouts this season. Williams will make his career postseason debut when he takes the mound. This will be Williams’ second career game against the NY Yankees.

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

The home team has won each of the last five games between the Yankees and Guardians.
The Yankees have lost two of their last three playoff games as favorites after going to extra innings.
The home team has covered the run line in each of the Guardians’ last six games.
The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four playoff games after going to extra innings.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in six of the Guardians’ last 10 night games.
Jose Ramirez has recorded a Double in three of the Guardians’ last four games against AL East opponents at Progressive Field.
Josh Naylor has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his eight previous home appearances against the Yankees after playing the previous day.
Josh Naylor has scored at least one run in each of his last nine Friday night appearances against AL teams that held a winning record.
Steven Kwan has recorded at least one Single in each of the Guardians’ last nine playoff games as underdogs.
Steven Kwan has recorded a hit in each of the Guardians’ last nine playoff games as underdogs.
Steven Kwan has recorded at least one total base in each of the Guardians’ last nine playoff games as underdogs.
Jose Ramirez ranks T5th in the league in Home Runs (39) this season.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

Giancarlo Stanton has recorded a Double in each of the Yankees’ last three games as road favorites against AL opponents.
Aaron Judge has hit at least one home run in six of the Yankees’ last seven games against the Guardians.
Aaron Judge has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Yankees’ last seven games against the Guardians.
Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in each of the Yankees’ last seven games against the Guardians.
Giancarlo Stanton has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last eight road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Juan Soto has recorded a hit in each of his last 11 playoff appearances after playing the previous day.
Jose Trevino has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Aaron Judge ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (58) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

The Cleveland Guardians rank 2nd in the league for hits allowed this season (1224).
The Cleveland Guardians rank 3rd in the league for ERA this season (3.61).
The New York Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (237).
The New York Yankees rank 1st in the league for walks this season (672).

Cleveland Guardians vs NY Yankees Prediction

The NY Yankees have been the better team this series and they’re the safer play. It will be interesting to see how Gil and Williams handle their first career postseason Games. I’d assume Williams will handle the nerves better because he’s at home, while Gil has had control issues all year and any slight hiccups could snowball into a disaster. Also, that Game 3 win and the way the Guardians won it could have a carry-over effect. Momentum is a hell of a thing, and it kind of feels like the Yankees didn’t cut the head off the snake when they had the chance. I’ll take a stab with the Guardians in Game 4 and the plus money.