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Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Prediction 5-7-24 Picks

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Detroit Tigers (18-16) vs. Cleveland Guardians (22-12)
May 7, 2024 6:10 pm EDT
The Line: Cleveland Guardians -125 / Detroit Tigers +106; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Detroit Tigers and the Cleveland Guardians meet Tuesday in MLB action from Progressive Field. Here’s a Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-Game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the Game.

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Tigers took on the New York Yankees over the weekend in their last series. Detroit didn’t have any luck in that set, falling in three straight Games 2-1, 5-3 and 5-2 for a sweep. On Monday versus the Guardians, the Tigers couldn’t score after the first inning in a tough loss 2-1. Riley Greene provided the lone RBI with a solo home run.

In the starting role for Game two on Tuesday the Tigers are sending out Kenta Maeda. This year in six starts Maeda is 1-1 with a 5.02 ERA and 22 Ks in 28.2 innings. Maeda is 66-50 with a 3.95 ERA in 196 career Games (161 starts).

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

Over on the Guardians’ side, they played the Los Angeles Angels in their last set. Cleveland lost the Friday Game 6-0, but came back to win 7-1 and 4-1 in the next pair to take the series victory. On Monday the Guardians got a solo homer from Jose Ramirez and an RBI from Will Brennan in the tight win. Starter Triston McKenzie put up 5.0 innings with one earned on three hits and three walks.

It’ll be Logan Allen in the starter role for the Guardians on Tuesday. This year so far over his seven starts Allen is 3-2 with a 5.11 ERA and 31 Ks in 37.0 innings. Allen is 10-10 with a 4.10 ERA in 31 career starts.

Tigers vs Guardians Injury Notes

The Guardians were expected to place LF Steven Kwan (hamstring) on the 10-day injured list Monday.

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Logan Allen Record this season: 3-2 ERA: 5.11
  • The home team has won each of the Tigers’ last six games.
  • The Tigers have lost each of their last five road games.
  • The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight Tuesday road games against American League opponents.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Kenta Maeda Record this season: 1-1 ERA: 5.02
  • The Tigers have won five of their last six games as underdogs against AL Central opponents following a loss.
  • The Guardians have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against the Tigers following a home win.
  • The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games against the Tigers at Progressive Field following a home win.
  • The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last six games against the Guardians following a loss.
  • The Guardians have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last nine games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • The Tigers have led after 5 innings in 10 of their last 14 games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the last seven games between the Tigers and Guardians at Progressive Field have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Tigers’ last six night games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last four night games against AL Central opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last three games as favorites against AL Central opponents.

Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Prediction

I’ll lean toward the Tigers. Maeda has been good over his last two starts, posting a combined 11.0 innings with one earned, no walks and seven hits in that time. Maeda did post just 2.2 innings and five earned on April 18 versus the Rangers, though. As for Allen, he’s given up nine earned over his last three starts in 15.2 total innings, going 1-2 in that time.

On Monday in the opener, the Tigers couldn’t get much going on six team hits. The good news is that six different players had a hit, and nine different players got on base; Detroit just couldn’t cash in on any of it. Maeda should be able to set things up well on Tuesday, but the offense needs more of a push this time.

Andrew's Free Pick: Detroit Tigers +106

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