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Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox Prediction 7-2-24 Picks

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Chicago White Sox (24-62) vs. Cleveland Guardians (52-30)
July 2, 2024 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Cleveland Guardians -189 / Chicago White Sox +159; Over/Under: -
(Get latest betting odds)

The Chicago White Sox and the Cleveland Guardians meet Tuesday in MLB action from Progressive Field. Here’s a Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-Game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the Game.

Chicago White Sox Betting Preview

The White Sox played the Colorado Rockies over the weekend. Chicago managed a 5-3 win on Friday, then kept it up with an 11-3 victory in game two. In the Sunday finale the Sox took a tough 5-4 loss in 14 innings. Starter Garrett Crochet lasted 7.0 innings with two earned runs and 11 strikeouts.

For the starter gig in the Tuesday opener versus Cleveland, the White Sox are going with Chris Flexen. This year Flexen is 2-7 with a 5.13 ERA in 17 Games (15 starts). Flexen is 29-41 with a 4.97 ERA in 137 Games (95 starts).

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

Over on the Guardians’ side, they played the Kansas City Royals in their last series. Cleveland lost 2-1 and 10-3 in the first two installments of that set, but managed a 7-2 win in Game three. In the finale the Guardians lost 6-2. Logan Allen put up three earned in 4.1 innings as the starting pitcher.

As starter for Tuesday’s game, the Guardians are going with Carlos Carrasco. This year Carrasco is 3-6 with a 5.27 ERA in 14 starts. Over his career Carrasco is 110-99 with a 4.10 ERA in 317 games (270 starts).

Guardians vs White Sox Pick Injury Notes

White Sox RP Corey Knebel (shoulder) began a rehab assignment with High-A Winston-Salem on Friday.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the White Sox’s last eight games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Three of the Guardians’ last four night games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the White Sox’s last seven night games against American League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last three games.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

  • Josh Naylor has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 17 appearances against the White Sox.
  • Steven Kwan has recorded at least one Single in each of the Guardians’ last six home games against the White Sox.
  • Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances against the White Sox after not playing the previous day.
  • Josh Naylor has recorded a Double in three of the Guardians’ last four home games against AL opponents.
  • Josh Naylor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances against the White Sox.
  • Jose Ramirez has scored at least one run in each of the Guardians’ last eight home games.
  • Josh Naylor has hit a home run in four of the Guardians’ last five night games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Yoan Moncada has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Tommy Pham has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
  • Luis Robert has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Yoan Moncada has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Yoan Moncada has scored at least one run in six of his last seven appearances against the Guardians after not playing the previous day.
  • Luis Robert has hit a home run in four of his last five road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox Prediction

I’ll stick with the Guardians. Carrasco had a rough outing versus the Blue Jays on June 15 with five earned in 5.0 innings. Since then he’s been much better with three earned over 11.0 innings in two starts. As for Flexen, he’s got nine earned in his last 15.0 innings, going 0-2 in that trio of starts.

On Sunday the Guardians had a pretty sketchy day on the mound, starting with Allen’s three earned runs. Cleveland had trouble scoring over the weekend with three runs or fewer in three of the four Games (seven in the other). The Guardians’ bats need to get moving here.

Andrew's Free Pick: Cleveland Guardians -189

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