MLB
Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago Cubs Prediction 8-14-24 MLB Picks
Chicago Cubs (59-61) vs. Cleveland Guardians (70-49)
August 14, 2024 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Cleveland Guardians -125 / Chicago Cubs +106; Over/Under: -
(Get latest betting odds)
The Chicago Cubs and the Cleveland Guardians meet Wednesday in MLB action from Progressive Field. Here’s a Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago Cubs prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-Game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Guardians vs Cubs pick.
Chicago Cubs Betting Preview
The Cubs took on the Chicago White Sox over the weekend. In that matchup the Cubs were able to take both Games over their in-city rivals, 7-6 and 3-1. After a 9-8 loss to Cleveland in the opener, on Tuesday Chicago took a low-scoring loss 2-1. Starter Javier Assad put up 4.2 innings with one earned run.
In the starter slot for the finale the Cubs will send out Jameson Taillon. This year Taillon is 8-6 with a 3.50 ERA in 20 starts. Taillon is 67-51 with a 3.95 ERA in 193 Games (192 starts).
Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview
Over on the Cleveland side, they played the Minnesota Twins in their last series. The Guardians lost the first two Games 4-2 and 6-3 before wins 2-1 and 5-3 for a tie series. On Tuesday the Guardians out-hit Chicago 6-5. Matthew Boyd managed 5.1 innings with one earned run as starter.
It’ll be Alex Cobb in the starter role for Cleveland Wednesday. This year Cobb is 0-1 with 4.2 innings and one K in his lone start. Cobb is 77-76 in his career with a 3.86 ERA in 231 starts.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Guardians’ last four games as favorites against the Cubs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Thirteen of the Cubs’ last 16 road games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last nine games between the Cubs and Guardians.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cubs’ last eight games at Progressive Field.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Jose Ramirez has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Guardians’ last seven games as favorites.
- Jose Ramirez has recorded a Double in four of the Guardians’ last five games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last seven home games.
- Steven Kwan has scored at least one run in six of the Guardians’ last seven games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Alex Cobb has recorded a win in each of his last six appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL opponents.
- Jose Ramirez has hit at least one home run in four of the Guardians’ last six games as favorites.
- Josh Naylor has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Guardians’ last six home games against NL Central opponents.
- Will Brennan has recorded a Single in each of the Guardians’ last four games against the Cubs.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Nick Madrigal has recorded at least one total base in each of his 15 previous appearances with his team as an underdog against AL Central opponents.
- Nico Hoerner has recorded a Double in each of the Cubs’ last three games as road underdogs.
- Nick Madrigal has recorded at least one hit in each of his 15 previous appearances with his team as an underdog against AL Central opponents.
- Nico Hoerner has scored at least one run in eight of the Cubs’ last nine night games.
- Jameson Taillon has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with the Cubs as underdogs.
- Ian Happ has hit a home run in three of the Cubs’ last five games against AL Central opponents.
- Dansby Swanson has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Cubs’ last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Nick Madrigal has recorded at least one Single in each of his 10 previous appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL Central opponents.
Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago Cubs Prediction
I’ll lean toward Cleveland. Probably not touching this one, though. Taillon has one good start in his last three, posting one earned in 6.0 innings versus the Cardinals. In his other pair however, Taillon is 1-1 with 11 earned in 9.1 innings. As for Cobb, he didn’t start out well in his debut (4.2 innings; four earned).
On Tuesday the Guardians didn’t have too many offensive fireworks outside of Jhonkensy Noel’s solo homer but they got the job done. The pen was great too on 3.2 innings, two hits and no earned. I like Cleveland to keep it going Wednesday.
Andrew's Free Pick: Cleveland Guardians -125
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