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Cleveland Guardians vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 8-2-24 MLB Picks

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Baltimore Orioles (65-45) vs. Cleveland Guardians (66-42)
August 2, 2024 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Cleveland Guardians +103 / Baltimore Orioles -122; Over/Under: +9
(Get latest betting odds)

The Baltimore Orioles and the Cleveland Guardians meet Saturday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this Game. Here’s a Cleveland Guardians vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Baltimore Orioles will start Dean Kremer here and Kremer is 4-7 with a 4.20 ERA and 73 strikeouts this season. In his career, Kremer is 0-2 with a 6.23 ERA and 8 strikeouts against the Guardians. Cleveland will start Carlos Carrasco here and Carrasco is 3-9 with a 5.68 ERA and 79 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Baltimore, Carrasco is 3-1 with a 2.45 ERA and 29 strikeouts.

Baltimore Orioles Recap

The Baltimore Orioles come into this one looking to rebound after starting the series on the wrong foot thanks to a 10-3 loss in Thursday’s series opener. The loss put the Orioles behind the 8-ball in terms of trying to build on their series victory over the Toronto Blue Jays to start the week.

Orioles Looking To Stay Atop AL East

Gunnar Henderson leads the Orioles with 123 hits, 28 home runs, along with 66 RBIs and 6 triples but also has a team-high 112 strikeouts in addition to 14 stolen bases. Adley Rutschman has 105 hits with 17 home runs and 62 RBIs in addition to 13 doubles while Anthony Santander has 17 doubles with 32 home runs and 74 RBIs and Colton Cowser has 16 doubles and Ryan Mountcastle has 23 doubles and Jordan Westburg has a team-high 25 doubles. Cedric Mullins has also contributed a team-high 19 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

  • The Guardians have lost each of their last seven games as underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Orioles have won six of their last seven road games against AL Central opponents.
  • The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine home games after playing the previous day.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last five games as road favorites against AL Central opponents.

Cleveland Guardians Recap

The Cleveland Guardians will try to build some momentum after beating up on the Orioles to start the series on Thursday. The win put the Guardians in a good spot for another series win after knocking off the Tigers and Phillies over the last week.

Guardians Trying To Create Space Atop AL Central

Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians with 116 hits as well as 28 home runs and 90 RBIs while Josh Naylor also has 23 home runs and 75 RBIs along with 17 doubles of his own. Ramirez has a team-high 23 doubles while Tyler Freeman has 14 doubles and Andres Gimenez has 45 RBIs with 16 stolen bases while the aforementioned Ramirez has a team-high 20 stolen bases on the year. Steven Kwan is also hitting .333 with 111 hits and 14 doubles this season.

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

  • The Guardians have won seven of their last eight home games against AL East opponents.
  • The Orioles have lost five of their last nine games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
  • The Guardians have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs after playing the previous day.
  • The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games following a road loss.

Cleveland Guardians vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

I’m on the over here. This is just a matchup between two starting pitchers I don’t trust to do their job in Kremer and Carrasco, against two disciplined and solid batting lineups on both sides. The Orioles have found their swing again against right-handed pitching and the Guardians are a tough team to get out just in general. I think this one hits the over early, but give me the over for the full Game as well.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Over 9

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