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Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction 8-14-24 MLB Picks

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St. Louis Cardinals (60-59) vs. Cincinnati Reds (58-61)
August 14, 2024 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Cincinnati Reds +106 / St. Louis Cardinals -125; Over/Under: +9.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The St. Louis Cardinals and Cincinnati Reds meet Wednesday in MLB Game 3 action at Great American Ball Park. Here’s a Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction. This article will include a Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Pick.

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals are 60-60 on the year and play the Dodgers and Brewers next. The St. Louis Cardinals have scored 5 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 10 Games. The St. Louis Cardinals have won 7 of their last 9 Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Nolan Arenado leads the St. Louis Cardinals with 116 hits and 53 RBI, while Brendan Donovan and Masyn Winn have combined for 230 hits and 94 RBI.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 59-61 on the year and play the Royals and Blue Jays next. The Cincinnati Reds have scored 14 runs in their last 3 Games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 7 Games. The Cincinnati Reds have won 4 straight Games when scoring 4 or more runs. Elly De La Cruz leads the Cincinnati Reds with 119 hits and 51 RBI, while Spencer Steer and Jonathan India have combined for 198 hits and 116 RBI.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Pick Matchup

Kyle Gibson gets the ball for the St. Louis Cardinals, and he is 7-4 with a 3.99 ERA and 115 strikeouts this season. Gibson has allowed 13 hits and 6 runs in his last 13 innings. Gibson has a 3.34 ERA and .202 allowed batting average in 67.1 road innings. Gibson is 2-0 with a 5.40 ERA and 22 strikeouts in his career against the Cincinnati Reds.

Carson Spiers gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 4-4 with a 4.45 ERA and 57 strikeouts this season. Spiers has allowed 12 hits and 11 runs in his last 10.2 innings. Spiers has a 3.59 ERA and .257 allowed batting average in 42.2 home innings. Spiers is 1-1 with a 3.75 ERA and 6 strikeouts in his career against the St. Louis Cardinals.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will Beat the Reds

  • The Cardinals have lost each of their last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • The Reds have won four of their last five games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents.
  • The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in 14 of their last 15 games as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • The Reds have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against the Cardinals.
  • The Cardinals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games as favorites against National League opponents.
  • The Cardinals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games as favorites against NL Central opponents.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

  • Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Tyler Stephenson has scored a run in six of his last seven appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Jonathan India has recorded at least one Double in each of his last four appearances against the Cardinals after playing the previous day.
  • Jeimer Candelario has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Spencer Steer has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven appearances against NL opponents.
  • Jonathan India has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances with the Reds as home underdogs against the Cardinals.
  • Jonathan India has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last six appearances with the Reds as underdogs against the Cardinals.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

  • Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 Wednesday night appearances against teams that held a losing record.
  • Willson Contreras has scored a run in each of his last seven Wednesday appearances against teams that held a losing record.
  • Masyn Winn has recorded a Double in three of the Cardinals’ last four games as favorites.
  • Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 Wednesday night appearances against teams that held a losing record.
  • Nolan Arenado has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances against the Reds after playing the previous day.
  • Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Cardinals’ last five night games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Cardinals’ last eight games as road favorites.
  • Kyle Gibson has recorded a win in four of his last five road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Kyle Gibson has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last nine road appearances.

Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction

You can make a case for either side, as the Cardinals and Reds need wins to stay in the wild card race. There’s not much separation between Kyle Gibson and Carson Spiers. The difference is the Reds have played better ball this week and have been the better team through two Games. Slight plus money at home, I’m going to lean toward the Reds in this spot based on the value of the more favorable price. 

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Cincinnati Reds +106

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